Radical uncertainty I’m a skeptic, sure, but I’m a skeptic with a can-do temperament who realizes how paralyzing skepticism can be. It is, of course, extraordinarily difficult to predict the distant future. I’m not just talking about the difficulty of constructing good theories in the social sciences and then testing those theories against the data; we also have to contend with our broader inability to trace definitive chains of cause and effect in human affairs.
