The situation or context. The variables that govern the situation. The complications or complexity as you see it. Alternatives that were seriously considered, and why they were not chosen. A paragraph explaining the range of outcomes you deem possible, with probabilities. A paragraph explaining what you expect to happen, and the reasoning. (The degree of confidence matters, a lot.) The time of day you’re making the decision, and how you feel physically and mentally. (If you’re tired, for example, write it down.)