You will improve your thinking a great deal if you try to abandon artificial certainty and learn to think ambiguously about the peculiarities of human psychology. However, as I warned at the beginning of this book, this will not necessarily make life easier – it is much easier to be fired for being illogical than for being unimaginative.fn1 The chart opposite describes the consequences of different modes of decision-making, whether things go right or wrong. Why we need to spend more time and energy hunting for butterfly effects. Large organisations are not set up to reward creative thinking.
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