Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life (Incerto, #5)
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But never engage in detailed overexplanations of why something important is important:
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By definition, what works cannot be irrational; about every single person I know who has chronically failed in business shares that mental block, the failure to realize
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that if something stupid works (and makes money), it cannot be stupid.
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Our message is to focus on those who are professionally slanted, causing harm without being accountable for it, by the very structure of their own occupation.
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Intellectualism is the belief that one can separate an action from the results of such action, that one can separate theory from practice, and that one can always fix a complex system by hierarchical approaches, that is, in a (ceremonial) top-down manner.
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By some mysterious mental mechanism, people fail to realize that the principal thing you can learn from a professor is how to be a professor—and the chief thing you can learn from, say, a life coach or inspirational speaker is how to become a life coach or inspirational speaker.
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I am, at the Fed level, libertarian; at the state level, Republican; at the local level, Democrat; and at the family and friends level, a socialist.
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if wealth is giving you fewer options instead of more (and more varied) options, you’re doing it wrong.
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Love without sacrifice is theft
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An error-free world would have no penicillin, no chemotherapy…almost no drugs, and most probably no humans.
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To take stock: a situation is deemed non-ergodic when observed past probabilities do not apply to future processes.
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you start betting aggressively whenever you have a profit, never when you have a deficit, as if a switch was turned on or off. This method is practiced by probably every single trader who has survived.
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“what’s the worst thing that can happen to you?”
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“The difference between successful people and really successful people is that really successful people say no to almost everything,” he said.
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make the case for risk loving, for systematic “convex” tinkering, and for taking a lot of risks that don’t have tail risks but offer tail profits.
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One may be risk loving yet completely averse to ruin.