Repetition and feedback. Take several tests in succession, assessing how well you did after each one and attempting to improve your performance on the next one. Equivalent bets. For each estimate, set up the equivalent bet to test if that range or probability really reflects your uncertainty. Consider two pros and two cons. Think of at least two reasons why you should be confident in your assessment and two reasons you could be wrong. Avoid anchoring. Think of range questions as two separate binary questions of the form “Are you 95% certain that the true value is over/under (pick one) the
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