Ed Carmichael

82%
Flag icon
For instance, if you are a devout dove who believes that threatening military action never brings peace, be open to the possibility that you might be wrong about Iran. And the same advice applies if you are a devout hawk who believes that soft “appeasement” policies never pay off. Each side should list, in advance, the signs that would nudge them toward the other.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Rate this book
Clear rating
Open Preview