Ed Carmichael

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So if a secret American plan to invade Cuba without apparent American involvement happens to be published on the front page of the New York Times, the plan can still go ahead—just make sure there are no American soldiers on the beach and deny American involvement. The world will believe it. And if that sounds implausible…well, not to worry, no one in the group has objected, which means everyone thinks it’s perfectly reasonable, so it must be.
Ed Carmichael
So the bay of pigs invasion was reported by the NYT ahead of time - no wonder it failed
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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