Regular forecasters scored higher on intelligence and knowledge tests than about 70% of the population. Superforecasters did better, placing higher than about 80% of the population. Note three things. First, the big jumps in intelligence and knowledge are from the public to the forecasters, not from forecasters to superforecasters. Second, although superforecasters are well above average, they did not score off-the-charts high and most fall well short of so-called genius territory, a problematic concept often arbitrarily defined as the top 1%, or an IQ of 135 and up.
