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“You have to have tremendous humility in the face of the game because the game is extremely complex, you won’t solve it, it’s not like tic-tac-toe or checkers,” she says. “It’s very hard to master and if you’re not learning all the time, you will fail. That being said, humility in the face of the game is extremely different than humility in the face of your opponents.” Duke feels confident that she can compete with most people she sits down with at a poker table. “But that doesn’t mean I think I’ve mastered this game.”
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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