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Shortly after World War I, Eisenhower, then a junior officer who had some experience with the new weapons called tanks, published an article in the US Army’s Infantry Journal making the modest argument that “the clumsy, awkward and snail-like progress of the old tanks must be forgotten, and in their place we must picture this speedy, reliable and efficient engine of destruction.” Eisenhower was dressed down. “I was told my ideas were not only wrong but dangerous, and that henceforth I was to keep them to myself,” he recalled. “Particularly, I was not to publish anything incompatible with solid ...more
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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