Lauri Antalainen

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The usual solutions are those the Kennedy administration implemented after the Bay of Pigs invasion—bring in outsiders, suspend hierarchy, and keep the leader’s views under wraps. There’s also the “premortem,” in which the team is told to assume a course of action has failed and to explain why—which makes team members feel safe to express doubts they may have about the leader’s plan.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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