Lauri Antalainen

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PRAGMATIC: Not wedded to any idea or agenda ANALYTICAL: Capable of stepping back from the tip-of-your-nose perspective and considering other views DRAGONFLY-EYED: Value diverse views and synthesize them into their own PROBABILISTIC: Judge using many grades of maybe THOUGHTFUL UPDATERS: When facts change, they change their minds GOOD INTUITIVE PSYCHOLOGISTS: Aware of the value of checking thinking for cognitive and emotional biases
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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