Casi Graddy-Gamel

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In personality psychology, one of the “Big Five” traits is “openness to experience,” which has various dimensions, including preference for variety and intellectual curiosity. It’s unmistakable in many superforecasters. Most people who are not from Ghana would find a question like “Who will win the presidential election in Ghana?” pointless. They wouldn’t know where to start, or why to bother. But when I put that hypothetical question to Doug Lorch and asked for his reaction, he simply said, “Well, here’s an opportunity to learn something about Ghana.”16
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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