Ian Pitchford

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Be on the Lookout for Sharpening and Leveling. Scientists rarely make exact predictions. For instance, rather than stating that “54% of the electorate favors a tax on imported oil,” they will say that “54% plus or minus four percent favor an oil import tax.” Scientific predictions are almost always given as a range or “confidence interval.”
How We Know What Isn't So (A Psychological Study on Logic)
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