In figure 10-9, I’ve plotted the batting averages achieved by American League players in April 2011 on one axis, and the batting averages for the same players in May 2011 on the other one.28 There seems to be no correlation between the two. (A player named Brendan Ryan, for instance, hit .184 in April but .384 in May.) And yet, we know from looking at statistics over the longer term—what baseball players do over whole seasons or over the course of their careers—that hitting ability differs substantially from player to player.