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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't, by Nate Silver

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The key is in remembering that a model is a tool to help us understand the complexities of the universe, and never a substitute for the universe itself.
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
by Nate Silver
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