Larissa Spinelli

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When we are making predictions, we need a balance between curiosity and skepticism.89 They can be compatible. The more eagerly we commit to scrutinizing and testing our theories, the more readily we accept that our knowledge of the world is uncertain, the more willingly we acknowledge that perfect prediction is impossible, the less we will live in fear of our failures, and the more liberty we will have to let our minds flow freely. By knowing more about what we don’t know, we may get a few more predictions right.
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
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