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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't, by Nate Silver

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An unpredicted disaster, even if it has no direct effect on us, shakes our confidence that we are in control of our fate.
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
by Nate Silver
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