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Luis Henrique
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't, by Nate Silver

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the ratings agencies quite explicitly considered the possibility that there was a housing bubble. They concluded, remarkably, that it would be no big deal.
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
by Nate Silver
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