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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't, by Nate Silver

In 1940, the chance of an American being killed by lightning in a given year was about 1 in 400,000.33 Today, it’s just 1 chance in 11,000,000,

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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

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