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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't, by Nate Silver

R0 was about 3 for the Spanish flu, 6 for smallpox, and 15 for measles. It is perhaps well into the triple digits for malaria,

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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

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