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Harald G.
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't, by Nate Silver

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This is just a taste of the maddening array of data that seismologists observe. It seems to exist in a purgatory state—not quite random and not quite predictable.
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
by Nate Silver
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