Palin's Chances, Ctd

Nyhan compares her favorables to Clinton's:

Though Clinton started 2007 as a less polarizing figure than Palin, thepublic quickly reverted to being sharply divided about her as she beganto campaign actively for the Democratic nomination. Assuming Palin'sremaining supporters will stick by her, she may end up with a similarprofile in April 2011 as Hillary had in April 2007. In that case, asuccessful nomination campaign is plausible (and even a generalelection victory if the economy is in bad...