Palin's Chances, Ctd

Chris Cillizza points to a major hurdle for her in the first primary:

New Hampshire has an open primary system, meaning that independents canchoose to vote in either the Democratic or Republican primary forpresident. ... With Obama almost certain not to bechallenged for his party's nomination in 2012, independents are likelyto play a very influential role in determining the Republican nominee.Palin has struggled mightily to court independent voters since the 2008campaign; a recent Quinnipiac...