Thoughts on the similarities between bird-watching and counterinsurgency

While Tom Ricks is away from his blog, he has selected a few of his
favorite posts to re-run. We will be posting a few every day until he
returns. This originally ran on February 4, 2011.
The fun I had helping a neighbor at Christmastime with the Audubon annual
census of birds on our island inspired me to read Sibley's Birding Basics. As I did, I was struck by how you
could read some of his instructions as a supplement to David Kilcullen's recommendations on observing insurgents.
--"Watch the edges of the flock and pay special attention to outlying birds
or those that act differently; they may be a different species."
--"Consider the time of day."
--"Anticipate the birds' needs."
--"Follow the birds. If you find a number of birds in an area, consider why
they might be there. Is there a concentration of food? Is it a warm or cool
spot?"
--"Another important point for beginners to understand is that bird
identification is not an exact science and often does not involve absolute
certainty."
--"Looking at a bird with prejudice, having already determined that it is
likely to be one species and leading only to confirm that identification, will
lead you into error.… Guard against forming an opinion until all of the evidence
is in."
Also, be ready for the unexpected: I was surprised that Sibley lists Central
Park, smack in middle of the concrete canyons of New York City, as great
bird-watching spot. The reason, he writes, is that migrating birds gravitate
toward it, as "the largest patch of natural habitat in the area" -- not unlike,
he writes, a desert oasis.
Of course, both bird-watching and dealing with insurgents began by hunting
them down and killing them, until those doing the shooting realized there often
might be a better approach. With knowledge comes the understanding that hawks
act differently from shrikes, and a strong tribe differently from a marginalized
one.
Speaking of growing understanding, I finished reading Senator's Son, which takes that as its theme. I enjoyed it
enormously. More next week about that.
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