The Russians Are Invading Ukraine Next Week, The Russians Are Invading Ukraine…. Freak Out

In the midst of exercises in Belarus that are hosting tens of thousands of Russian troops and the Russian deployment of over 100,000 of its forces near the border with Ukraine, the cries from the establishment seem to be that war in Europe is inevitable and that it is all the big, bad Putinites’ fault. Russia is invading Ukraine! Russia is invading Ukraine! Prepare the troops and ready the guns. The corporate media is excited for another pointless conflict.

Now, war is certainly not inevitable here, and as I have said previously, Russia will not invade Ukraine without provocation. However, what has become concerning is that in addition to the Biden administration’s calls for Americans to leave Ukraine immediately, it has also pulled its staff working for the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE).

The OSCE monitors the events in Ukraine, as the Ukrainian government has been engaging in a violent attempt to quell the separatists in Donetsk and Luhansk, and the organization has been the one responsible for reporting violations of the largely failed Minsk Protocol (Minsk I and Minsk II). The United States intelligence community has magically; and without telling us the specifics of how it came upon this information, the content of that information, and how it is so confident that the information is credible (perhaps another pre-Iraq intelligence fiasco?); produced a report suggesting that Russia is planning a false flag to blame the Ukrainian government for committing genocide against ethnic Russians in the Donbass region. If the OSCE no longer has eyes on the situation in eastern Ukraine to gain context of what is happening on the ground, the Ukrainian government might have cover to bomb separatist targets, provoking Russia and saying, “see, Russia made the first move.” Since there will be no clarity on the incidents, we will not know exactly what transpired for some time, and therefore, both sides will blame the other. The American corporate media will, of course, condemn Russia and side with Ukraine, regardless of who started it. The ensuing confusion may trigger a war that will then, despite President Biden’s assurances that Americans will not be committed to the cause, drag NATO forces into the fold.

A military strategy game has been underway for weeks, and we have already seen 8,500 American troops readied for deployment. An additional 5,000 troops (this was originally 2,000, but it was just increased) have been or are in the process of being sent to Germany and Poland (Poland also received F-15 fighter jets), and 1,000 troops were sent to Romania. Russia is now moving MiG-31 missiles armed with Kinzal hypersonic missiles to Kaliningrad (a Russian enclave between Poland and Lithuania) to combat the American Aegis Ashore missile sites in Poland and Romania (these are anti-ballistic missiles systems that can potentially be converted to have Tomahawk-offensive capabilities). Both the United States and Russia are participating in war games in or near the Black Sea and across Europe. What could go wrong?

Ukraine is preparing for war by adding an additional 100,000 troops to the army, and even if war with Russia does not come, the government there may be signaling that it wants to completely end the resistance in Donetsk and Luhansk with whatever force is necessary to do that. We have already seen excessive force utilized during its initial campaigns from Kiev to Donbass, which have been condemned by Russia. The majority of the people living in this region of Ukraine are either ethnically Russian or Russian speakers, and there is much political will to either leave Ukraine or have the unitary government decentralize power to the culturally distinct eastern parts. The will of the people does not fit into Washington’s agenda, though, as this is all about putting Russia in its place and bullying rival nations into compliance.

It is easy for the West to look at this conflict and point fingers at Russia, but think about this from a different perspective. Ukraine is the line in the sand for Russia when it comes to NATO expansion, and aside from what should be obvious with the comparison of Americans not being comfortable with Russians forming an anti-American alliance in Central America that would hope to annex Mexico after a Putin-backed coup against a democratically-elected government in Mexico City, the United States government, and particularly President George H. W. Bush and Secretary of State James Baker, had, around 1990, led Russia to believe that NATO would move “not one inch eastward.” Now, NATO has annexed Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria (all former Soviet or satellite states), and it eyes Ukraine and Georgia, as promised by President George W. Bush in 2008. This is the problem when we have arrogant politicians who think that they can ignore the national security interests, whether perceived or real, of their enemies and still expect us to consider them serious diplomats.

The United States government knows that it cannot consume Ukraine into NATO without starting a war, but it will play hardball in order to not look weak to its adversaries, and it looks like this time, Russia is not backing down from its requirement that the former Soviet state never join the alliance. Of course, NATO should no longer exist, since it was an alliance to counter an empire that is non-existent, and all the alliance is doing is creating another cold war that could lead to something far worse and non-beneficial to the American people. Either way, we can be sure that the military-industrial complex (Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, Boeing, Northrup Grumman, BAE Systems, and others were invited to meetings by former Raytheon board member and current Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin to develop new technology for this and other potential conflicts) is enjoying the show and the prospective profit from yet another conflict (whether an engagement occurs or not).

The war hawks in the United States and the hardliners in Russia may keep this standoff going for weeks to come, and if a misunderstanding causes one side or the other to react into what may erupt into a domino effect of violent conflict, we should not be surprised that our wonderful politicians did this to us, aided by the corporate media’s fearmongering. Enjoy the Super Bowl, knowing that our politicians are beating the war drums and trying to scare you into thinking that the Russians are coming next week. Do not be like Eminem’s “toy soldiers” and blindly support the media and government as it destroys our country, but “be humble” like Kedrick Lamar and understand that there are things going on in the world that may be difficult to accept.

Thank you for reading, and please check out my book, The Global Bully, and website for more information on NATO expansion and the conflict in Ukraine.
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Published on February 12, 2022 09:08
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