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If the truth of a scientific theory, or even its usefulness, is to be judged by its predictive abilities, what are we to make of the predictions made by Hansen before Congress some 20 years ago, when we compare them with the actual measurements of the past twenty years?
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Actuals are below even the lowball prediction and lack the sort of trendiness that models always seem to produce. Instead, we seem to get a series of step-jumps punctuated by El Nino events.
Rob Reiss repor...
If the truth of a scientific theory, or even its usefulness, is to be judged by its predictive abilities, what are we to make of the predictions made by Hansen before Congress some 20 years ago, when we compare them with the actual measurements of the past twenty years?
[image error]
Actuals are below even the lowball prediction and lack the sort of trendiness that models always seem to produce. Instead, we seem to get a series of step-jumps punctuated by El Nino events.
Rob Reiss repor...
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