The Non-Linear Loophole?

Last month, I asked readers for a “Great Reconciliation” of three popular beliefs:

1. Risk mitigation should be directly proportional to risk severity.

2. Medically speaking, COVID is 2-5x as bad as flu.

3. Our COVID mitigation efforts should be much more than 5x our flu mitigation efforts.

 

The most theoretically compelling resolution I’ve encountered maintains that contra (1), our response to risk should be strongly non-linear.

On the surface, this is a plausible story.  Consider: How much mo...