Weekly Faction Forecast for September 18, 2020
While this forecast is coming out before the Singles Title Match between Dan Murrell and Ben Bateman on PPV, nothing will be spoiled until the match is aired on YouTube, except for The Finstock Exchange gaining three points. The points for Jeannine the Machine vs Warfather will continue to be labeled as forecasted whereas The Finstock Exchange is battling against themselves.
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Korruption was two points short of their forecasted points after Paul Oyama won against Marisol McKee and Adam Collins TKO John Rocha. They also managed to tie SWAG with first place, until The Finstock Exchange gains the three points from the Singles Title Match later today. William Bibbiani defeated James White, which was expected but not certain especially in this sport. Ethan Erwin got The Usual Suspects out of last place after Vinnie Mancuso was TKO in Round Three of the match.
When accounting for the Throwdown match on Friday, the standings could be:
FactionOutcome PointsThe Finstock Enchange44Korruption42SWAG42The Quirky Mercs25The Den20RoxStars18Dungeon17The Usual Suspects13 or 15The Burning Droogs12 or 14
If Jeannine the Machine wins, The Usual Suspects will start to pull away from The Burning Droogs and try to overtake the other lower standing factions. If Warfather wins, The Usual Suspects will return to being in last place and The Burning Droogs could gain the momentum they need to have a better standing.
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Looking ahead into Round Two, SWAG could take out Korruption since Lon Harris will be taking on Adam Collins and Liz Shannon Miller is facing Chance Ellison. If Paul Oyama also defeats Jeff Sneider, then SWAG will have first place.
The other faction that also has three competitors in Round Two is The Quirky Mercs. Perri Nemiroff, William Bibbiani, and Brendan Meyer have advanced and could add nine points to their score. Despite being behind the leaders, they have an opportunity to catchup to them, especially if they win the tournament. But their main obstacle is The Finstock Exchange. Perri is facing Mark Reilly while Barbarian is taking on William Bibbiani. It is possible Mark will defeat Perri and The Beast destroys The Barbarian or vice versa. It is also possible one faction crushes the other and advances into the Quarter Finals.
The RoxStars have two strong competitors that can pull them up in the rankings and get them toward the leaders. However, they must get their act together now. Not only do Jeff Sneider and Mark Andreyko have to face each other in the finals to pull it off, but they also have to win in the Teams Tournament as well. If Roxy Striar wants to prove she is the better manager then Dagnino, Shannon, or Winston, now is the time to prove it because otherwise she’ll be compared with Samm Levine and Kaiser.
The four remaining factions have one competitor each:
FactionCompetitorThe Burning DroogsJader ParamoThe DungeonEric ZipperThe DenTomThe Usual SuspectsEthan Erwin
Only one of these competitors will make it into the Semi-finals and I think Ethan Erwin will be that competitor. He’s a better player of the game and has more movie knowledge compared to the others. But that doesn’t mean he has it easy. We’ve seen him stumble on Animated questions, Zipper has shown great improvement since joining The Dungeon, and Tom is a strong opponent. Even though this is Jader’s rookie season, he plays the game like a natural. Ultimately, I still think Ethan will defeat all of them, but there is some doubt he won’t make it that far.
Next week, stay tuned for my forecast for the Teams Tournament. Since it is a four-round tournament (one play-in-match round and three tournament rounds) and there is a single team for each faction, I’ll be forecasting and updating it with the remaining Singles Matches we have in for the season.
