Projecting Deaths from COVID-19 (an update)

On April 2, I published a blog (here) analyzing available information to put in context the 100,000240,000 U.S. deaths then being projected. More recently, the government has reduced projections to 60,000The modification from the initial range resulted from two major components: how many would become infected in the U.S. and what percentage of those affected would die. Dr. Faucci, in announcing the reduction to 60,000 projected deaths, suggested the...