Where the Democratic Race stands after the Iowa fiasco

I'm going to write this trying not to betray my bias, though my readers probably know this.

I think the big winner to come out of Iowa is Elizabeth Warren because she finished in a strong third place, and has avoided the battle between Mayor Pete and Bernie "Feel the Bern" Sanders. Buttigieg claimed victory, and he may prevail in a dicey election, that he poured all of his resources into, and that few will trust. The point is no one will remember who won the Iowa Caucuses, and why Warren is the winner.

Bernie may still win the primaries, or Iowa may be a portent of an endless sea of shenanigans that will either drag down his campaign, or inspire it. I can't see Buttigieg going far past this initial victory, considering Iowa is his kind of State. That said, Buttigieg has risen above Beto, Harris, and Booker, something no one would've thought at the outset, and seems primed for a long political career, if he so desires, and after claiming victory last night I'd say he's avaricious.

Biden may also have dodged a bullet here, although not by much. Everyone knows he didn't do well, and the hype on NPR before the caucus fiasco, was decidedly pro-Biden, so this must be a death knell. The only caveat is that he may do best among black voters, who largely make up the constituency on Super Tuesday, and this could sustain him, if not put him in the lead.

Klobuchar only "performed above her weight," because she seems to have outlasted Biden, but I don't see this campaign going anywhere.

Bernie will become the martyr, and Mayor Pete the new face of the Party, but between these two extremes, it's possible without any data analysis to imagine Warren as the victor, wiggling through the line.

I realize that the mainstream media is painting the Iowa Caucus fiasco on a malfunctioning app, and blame is going around. But no one in the mainstream media has yet to confess that the app called SHADOW, was run by a group of ex-Hillary staffers, and given her dislike of Sanders this is fishy. Conspiratorially thinking, it would seem the Clinton DNC would have rather had Mayor Pete, the centrist du jour, gone on to victory in a normal manner. He has not "shocked the Nation," in his words, or not how meant. There are too many other events going on right now to warrant this, not to mention the outcome is still unknown over 24 hours later.

The DNC wanted Pete to coast without any confusion, but they silenced Bernie, which must've been the goal all along. I haven't watched the year long build up to this disaster, but I've read from many sources that Sanders got almost no media coverage and this would seem in keeping with my three day immersion into the political waters, that may have to end soon for my sanity.
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Published on February 05, 2020 04:52
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Bet on the Beaten

Seth Kupchick
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