Welp, Odds are SHIC Is Looking to Start a War
Shit head in charge decided to do this. Things are probably going to escalate and fast. Note, I've been wrong before. Russian and Turkey patched things up pretty quickly. And I thought Trump was smart enough not to get into a quagmire. But here we are. A revered general killed (and then it was boasted about on Twitter) as well as arrests carried out (so perhaps some elements of the Iraqi government were fine with this?)... We'll see how it goes.
NOte that talking to a few Iraqis (not just Sunnis) people don't like the Iranian influence or the militias they back (in terms of politics and economics–they have flooded their goods in Iraq because of our sanctions) and some are celebrating. (Im also hearing that it was the same militia that shot Iraqi protestors? I'm not sure about that one, though it wouldn't surprise me). [1]
This doesn't mean that Iran won't escalate (here's some mil members talking on it, a few too many rah-rah types, me thinks), because they kinda have to at this point (remember sanctions, another act of war, is tearing their economy apart). Because what's the endgame for them (and also history tells us that things like this don't always work out rationally)
[1] Note that some of these militias might get some things from Iran, but that doesn't make them loyal dogs, so it's hard to say if Qassam actually gave orders for some of these actions.
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NOte that talking to a few Iraqis (not just Sunnis) people don't like the Iranian influence or the militias they back (in terms of politics and economics–they have flooded their goods in Iraq because of our sanctions) and some are celebrating. (Im also hearing that it was the same militia that shot Iraqi protestors? I'm not sure about that one, though it wouldn't surprise me). [1]
This doesn't mean that Iran won't escalate (here's some mil members talking on it, a few too many rah-rah types, me thinks), because they kinda have to at this point (remember sanctions, another act of war, is tearing their economy apart). Because what's the endgame for them (and also history tells us that things like this don't always work out rationally)
[1] Note that some of these militias might get some things from Iran, but that doesn't make them loyal dogs, so it's hard to say if Qassam actually gave orders for some of these actions.
Enjoyed it? Share it via email, facebook, twitter, or one of the buttons below (or through some other method you prefer). Thank you! As always, here's the tip jar. paypal.me/nlowhim Throw some change in there & help cover the costs of running this thing. You can use paypal or a credit card.
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