Nice to see that the very sharp Jared Bernstein of CBPP is recovering from his health misadventure, and is already saying very smart things again: Jared Bernstein: Ch-ch-ch-changes!: "GS fiscal analyst Alec Phillips... worth a close look.... One of the more important policy-driven determinants of near-term US growth is under debate right now: setting discretionary spending levels for 2020/21.... Even were Congress to agree to keep the levels of discretionary spending stable over the next few years, the impact will be a fading of fiscal stimulus on real GDP growth... When it comes to fiscal impulse, it���s not the level that matters. It���s the change. The last deal���the one that determined spending in 2018/19���went both well above the caps but, more important from an impulse perspective, went well above prior agreements.... That���s one reason to expect 2020 growth to be closer to 2 percent than 3 percent...
#noted
Published on April 24, 2019 13:36