Procrastination for October 1, 2017

Over at Equitable Growth: Must- and Should-Reads:

Pedro Nicolaci de Costa: Trump sees Fed chair nomination as a reality show: "Neil Dutta, head of US economics at the research firm RenaissanceMacro, had this to say about the possible appointment of Warsh... http://www.businessinsider.com/trump-fed-chair-nomination-a-reality-show-2017-9
Nate Silver: The Media Needs To Stop Rationalizing President Trump���s Behavior: "San Juan mayor Carmen Yul��n Cruz... it���s hard to see what possible political benefit Trump could get from criticizing Cruz... https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-needs-to-stop-rationalizing-president-trumps-behavior/
Adam Jentleson: The Myth of Mitch McConnell, Political Super-Genius: Cynicism is the lifeblood of McConnell���s career... http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/09/28/myth-mitch-mcconnell-genius-master-senate-215656
Henry Farrell: Chelsea Manning and Harvard : "Elmendorf describes... [what] I think is the only sustainable way for it to think about [fellowships]... http://crookedtimber.org/2017/09/18/chelsea-manning-and-harvard/
Ricardo Hausmann: Making the Future Work for Us: "To pessimists, the introduction of... general-purpose technologies ��� including 3-D printing, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things ��� threatens the demand for labor... https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/technology-future-of-work-by-ricardo-hausmann-2017-09
Maximillian Kasy: Quantitative Methods in Economics: "Part I: 1. Linear predictors and least squares fit..." https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/kasy/files/1126syllabuskasyfall2017.pdf
Anton Howes: Why study Economic History?: "What is Economic History? It is about asking some of the biggest and most interesting questions imaginable... https://medium.com/@antonhowes/why-study-economic-history-ef747767be25

Interesting Reads:

Tim Duy: Fed Poised To Downplay Weak Data: "One would think the Fed would be looking for a series of very strong job reports to justify a rate hike in December. But with Fed officials largely convinced that the soft inflation numbers are transitory, a middling jobs report would likely be sufficient to keep them on track, and even a weak report if they can attribute disappointing data to the busy hurricane season..." https://blogs.uoregon.edu/timduyfedwatch/2017/10/01/fed-poised-to-downplay-weak-data/
Sean Illing: Fareed Zakaria on the most important lesson of the Trump presidency: "If this becomes the new norm, then we���re starting to look like Latin America 40 years ago..." https://www.vox.com/2017/9/14/16287506/fareed-zakaria-trump-presidency-lesson
Thomas Fujiwara et al.: Tordesillas, Slavery and the Origins of Brazilian Inequality: "The number of slaves in 1872 is discontinuously higher in the Portuguese side... has led to higher income inequality of 0.103 points (Gini coefficient)..." http://www.tinbergen.nl/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Felipe-Caicedo-27-Sept.pdf
Miles Kimball: Let's Set Half a Percent as the Standard for Statistical Significance: "Dan Benjamin... lead author on... 'Redefine Statistical Significance'.... Multiple hypothesis testing, P-hacking, and publication bias all reduce the credibility of evidence..." https://blog.supplysideliberal.com/post/2017/7/25/lets-set-half-a-percent-as-the-standard-for-statistical-significance
Alex Thompson and Ryan Grim: Kansas Won���t Expand Medicaid, Denying a Lifeline to Rural Hospitals and Patients https://theintercept.com/2017/10/01/kansas-wouldnt-expand-medicaid-denying-a-lifeline-to-rural-hospitals-and-patients/
Matthew Yglesias: Puerto Rico is all our worst fears about Trump coming real: "A real crisis comes and Trump can���t handle it.... Trump���s instinct so far is to turn the island���s devastation into another front in culture war politics..." https://www.vox.com/2017/10/1/16390006/puerto-rico-trump
Hallie Jo Gist:
EXAMINING THE 'GOLDIN' RATIO: REPRESENTATION BY GENDER AND RACE OF UC BERKELEY ECON UNDERGRADUATES http://calwomenofecon.weebly.com/news_blog
Jay Shambaugh et al.: Thirteen Facts about Wage Growth: "The U.S. economy has experienced long-term real wage stagnation and a persistent lack of
economic progress for many workers..." http://www.hamiltonproject.org/assets/files/thirteen_facts_wage_growth.pdf
Jared Bernstein: Tax roundup: Lies, lies, and more lies: "A rough typology of the lies upon which the sales job for the Republicans��� wasteful, regressive tax cut is based..." http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/tax-roundup-lies-lies-and-more-lies/
Jared Bernstein: Real GDP's still growing at ~2% on trend http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/real-gdps-still-growing-at-2-on-trend/
Nicola Twilley: A Field Farmed Only by Drones: "The Hands Free Hectare team envisions... farmers... programming their vehicles from a central mission control and using the time saved to focus on areas that need extra attention. ���The actual driving of a tractor���I didn���t miss that at all', Abell said. 'And, by not spending all your time going in a straight line on auto-steer, it gives you more time to learn about your crop and hopefully manage it better.'..." https://www.newyorker.com/tech/elements/a-field-farmed-only-by-drones

And Over Here:

Monday Smackdown: The Elementary Arithmetic of a Value-Added Tax (VAT): "..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/highlighted-for-september-18-2017-the-elementary-arithmetic-of-a-value-added-tax-vat.html
Links and Such for the Week of October 1, 2017 http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/links-and-such-for-the-week-of-october-1-2017.html
Live from the Orange-Haired Baboon Cage: Matthew Yglesias: PUERTO RICO IS ALL OUR WORST FEARS ABOUT TRUMP COMING REAL: "It���s essentially inconceivable that the next objectively difficult crisis that Trump fumbles will be more in Kelly���s wheelhouse than a disaster requiring a military response in the Caribbean..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/live-from-the-orange-haired-baboon-cage-matthew-yglesias-puerto-rico-is-all-our-worst-fears-about-trump-coming-real-i.html
For the Weekend...: Stalingrad: Crossing the Volga http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/09/for-the-weekend.html
Weekend Reading: The Rise of the Thought Leader: David Sessions on Dan Drezner: "..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/weekend-reading-the-rise-of-the-thought-leader-david-sessions-on-dan-drezner.html
Must-Read: Pedro Nicolaci de Costa: TRUMP SEES FED CHAIR NOMINATION AS A REALITY SHOW: "Neil Dutta, head of US economics at the research firm RenaissanceMacro, had this to say about the possible appointment of Warsh..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/must-read-everybody-should-be-very-clear-kevin-warsh-is-likely-to-be-a-disaster-as-fed-chairand-a-disaster-for-every.html
Must-Read: Nate Silver: THE MEDIA NEEDS TO STOP RATIONALIZING PRESIDENT TRUMP���S BEHAVIOR: "San Juan mayor Carmen Yul��n Cruz... it���s hard to see what possible political benefit Trump could get from criticizing Cruz..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/must-read-nate-silver-the-media-needs-to-stop-rationalizing-president-trumps-behavior-san-juan-mayor-carmen-yul%C3%ADn.html
Should-Read: Daniel Davies (2002): TWO CHEERS FOR THIS YEAR'S NOBEL PRIZE: "What the hell is an "ergodic process" when it's at home?..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/should-read-daniel-davies-2002-d-squared-digest-what-the-hell-is-an-ergodic-process-when-its-at-home-e.html
Should-Read: Henry Farrell: CHELSEA MANNING AND HARVARD: "Elmendorf describes... [what] I think is the only sustainable way for it to think about [fellowships]..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/should-read-i-agree-with-the-very-sharp-henry-farrell-here-i-think-my-friend-doug-elmendorf-has-gotten-himself-waist-de.html
Should-Read: Adam Jentleson: THE MYTH OF MITCH MCCONNELL, POLITICAL SUPER-GENIUS: "Cynicism is the lifeblood of McConnell���s career..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/should-read-adam-jentleson-the-myth-of-mitch-mcconnell-political-super-genius-cynicism-is-the-lifeblood-of-mcconnell.html
Should-Read: Ricardo Hausmann: MAKING THE FUTURE WORK FOR US: "To pessimists, the introduction of... general-purpose technologies ��� including 3-D printing, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things ��� threatens the demand for labor..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/09/should-read-ricardo-hausmann-making-the-future-work-for-us-to-pessimists-the-introduction-of-general-purpose-tech.html
Should-Read: Maximillian Kasy: QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN ECONOMICS: "Part I: 1. Linear predictors and least squares fit..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/09/should-read-maximillian-kasy-quantitative-methods-in-economics-part-i-1-linear-predictors-and-least-squares-fit.html
Should-Read: Anton Howes: WHY STUDY ECONOMIC HISTORY?: "What is Economic History? It is about asking some of the biggest and most interesting questions imaginable..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/09/should-read-anton-howes-why-study-economic-history-what-is-economic-history-it-is-about-asking-some-of-the-biggest.html
Should-Read: Nick Bunker: WEEKEND READING: ���TRIENNIAL DATA RELEASE��� EDITION: "The rise in U.S. income inequality is well known by now..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/09/should-read-nick-bunker-weekend-reading-triennial-data-release-edition-the-rise-in-us-income-inequality-is.html
Should-Read: Nick Bunker: AN UPDATE ON THE STATE OF WEALTH INEQUALITY IN THE UNITED STATES: "The Federal Reserve yesterday released the 2016 version of its triennial Survey of Consumer Finances..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/09/an-update-on-the-state-of-wealth-inequality-in-the-united-states-equitable-growth.html
Should-Read: Atif Mian, Amir Sufi, and Emil Verner: HOW DO CREDIT SUPPLY SHOCKS AFFECT THE REAL ECONOMY? EVIDENCE FROM THE UNITED STATES IN THE 1980S: "Does an expansion in credit supply affect the economy by increasing productive capacity, or by boosting demand?..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/09/1-should-read-atif-mian-amir-sufi-and-emil-verner-how-do-credit-supply-shocks-affect-the-real-economy-evidence-fro.html
Should-Read: Patrick Nielsen Hayden: "OFF THE RECORD": "I have never subscribed to the notion that someone can unilaterally impose an obligation of confidentiality onto me..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/09/should-read-endorse-patrick-nielsen-hayden-off-the-record-i-have-never-subscribed-to-the-notion-that-someon.html

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