"Plausibility" and Legal Claims about the Gaza Blockade

(David Bernstein)

Kevin Jon Heller of University of Melbourne and Opinio Juris: "Insofar as Israel insists that it is not currently occupying Gaza, it cannot plausibly claim that it is involved in an IAC [International Armed Conflict] with Hamas" (and thus the blockade of Gaza is unlawful).

U.N.'s Palmer Committee Report on the Mavi Marmara incident (and note that the U.N. is not exactly the most sympathetic forum for Israel): "The Panel considers the [Hamas-Israel] conflict should be treated as an international one for the purposes of the law of blockade" (and thus the blockade is lawful).

Heller: "I have questioned the legality of the blockade before, leading two readers to claim that the Palmer Committee's report contradicts my analysis of the situation. In fact, the opposite is true."

Well, no. Because the Report concluded that the Hamas-Israel conflict was an IAC, it didn't contradict Heller's argument that if it's not an IAC, the blockade is illegal under international law. But Heller also, as he acknowledges, "questioned the legality of the blockade" and said that it was not just wrong but that Israel's claim to be in an IAC with Hamas is wholly implausible. While one Report cannot establish in everyone's mind the lawfulness of the blockade, surely if an unsympathetic (or at the very least, non-sympathetic) forum like a U.N. commission adopts the Israeli position on IAC, that position cannot be deemed beyond the realm of even plausible argument, and Heller's analysis is indeed "contradicted."