COrrected NCAA Probabilities

Sorry I gave Oklahoma no chance to win in last simulation(I  had left out there rating). Here are corrected probabilities

Team
0
1
2
3
4
5
6


Kansas
0.48%
18.02%
18.36%
21.12%
11.94%
12.18%
17.90%


MSU
3.54%
14.32%
19.60%
23.80%
15.10%
8.42%
15.22%


UNC
1.70%
16.36%
30.68%
17.72%
14.68%
7.94%
10.92%


UVA
0.64%
21.88%
28.26%
21.28%
12.22%
7.26%
8.46%


VILL
3.70%
28.10%
25.34%
21.00%
7.48%
7.16%
7.22%


OKLA
7.10%
20.62%
25.28%
17.92%
15.48%
7.88%
5.72%


WVA
16.98%
19.92%
21.18%
20.68%
10.80%
4.82%
5.62%


ORE
0.90%
32.52%
28.36%
18.72%
11.50%
4.68%
3.32%


PUR
15.96%
27.58%
28.72%
14.72%
6.26%
3.46%
3.30%


UK
11.10%
38.24%
27.42%
9.90%
7.52%
2.94%
2.88%


IND
10.10%
43.64%
25.56%
9.84%
5.70%
2.74%
2.42%


XAV
7.36%
31.28%
30.80%
17.54%
7.50%
3.20%
2.32%


A AND M
9.56%
29.78%
30.40%
13.98%
10.46%
3.60%
2.22%


DUKE
16.28%
31.94%
23.02%
14.34%
9.04%
3.46%
1.92%


MIA
7.36%
44.84%
27.50%
12.20%
4.08%
2.44%
1.58%


ARIZ
44.56%
25.50%
16.08%
8.42%
2.72%
1.50%
1.22%


MD
18.84%
32.64%
33.16%
8.80%
3.56%
1.82%
1.18%


IOWA
18.64%
51.98%
15.72%
8.58%
2.58%
1.72%
0.78%


CAL
27.28%
34.80%
26.96%
6.98%
2.26%
1.02%
0.70%


BAY
31.12%
35.00%
17.28%
9.58%
4.64%
1.68%
0.70%


Wicita
55.44%
22.80%
12.86%
5.14%
2.00%
1.08%
0.68%


ISU
17.84%
46.06%
22.52%
8.40%
3.44%
1.10%
0.64%


TEX
29.84%
40.08%
18.56%
6.58%
3.46%
1.02%
0.46%


GONZ
44.58%
23.46%
21.34%
6.72%
2.64%
0.80%
0.46%


UTAH
18.62%
40.26%
27.64%
8.46%
3.40%
1.20%
0.42%


UCONN
36.34%
49.76%
6.72%
4.68%
1.60%
0.60%
0.30%


HALL
55.42%
21.16%
16.96%
4.20%
1.58%
0.44%
0.24%


VCU
41.74%
41.46%
10.32%
4.22%
1.74%
0.36%
0.16%


MICH
51.64%
33.84%
8.64%
4.38%
1.16%
0.18%
0.16%


SYR
47.96%
42.52%
5.50%
2.96%
0.84%
0.08%
0.14%


WISC
50.60%
31.02%
11.64%
5.08%
1.24%
0.30%
0.12%


BUT
39.44%
44.70%
9.70%
4.38%
1.30%
0.36%
0.12%


STJOES
57.44%
29.84%
8.42%
3.10%
0.80%
0.32%
0.08%


CIN
42.56%
36.74%
12.18%
5.46%
2.36%
0.62%
0.08%


PROV
50.04%
41.66%
5.98%
1.50%
0.54%
0.20%
0.08%


PITT
49.40%
31.54%
12.58%
4.68%
1.34%
0.38%
0.08%


COLO
63.66%
31.78%
2.58%
1.52%
0.30%
0.12%
0.04%


OR ST
58.26%
32.52%
6.66%
1.78%
0.64%
0.10%
0.04%


ND
48.36%
35.84%
9.68%
4.94%
0.98%
0.16%
0.04%


YALE
68.88%
21.24%
6.98%
2.04%
0.68%
0.16%
0.02%


USC
49.96%
40.66%
7.12%
1.74%
0.46%
0.04%
0.02%


SFA
83.02%
10.40%
4.48%
1.66%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%


Aus Peay
99.52%
0.44%
0.04%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


SDST
81.16%
13.30%
5.04%
0.44%
0.04%
0.02%
0.00%


HAW
72.72%
19.26%
7.14%
0.72%
0.10%
0.06%
0.00%


BUFF
92.64%
6.86%
0.44%
0.06%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


TEMPLE
81.36%
16.58%
1.70%
0.34%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%


UNCA
96.30%
3.34%
0.36%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


FCGU
99.10%
0.90%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


UNCW
83.72%
11.82%
3.76%
0.58%
0.12%
0.00%
0.00%


UNI
70.16%
22.72%
5.44%
1.24%
0.36%
0.08%
0.00%


GB
90.44%
7.42%
1.90%
0.24%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


CSB
92.90%
5.40%
1.44%
0.22%
0.04%
0.00%
0.00%


FGCU
98.30%
1.32%
0.38%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


CHAT
89.90%
9.06%
1.02%
0.00%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%


STONY
88.90%
9.06%
1.84%
0.16%
0.04%
0.00%
0.00%


WEB
92.64%
6.16%
1.00%
0.18%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%


HAM
99.36%
0.58%
0.06%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


TEXAS TECH
60.56%
32.84%
4.54%
1.64%
0.36%
0.06%
0.00%


UALR
84.04%
11.08%
3.94%
0.80%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%


IONA
82.16%
15.28%
2.26%
0.22%
0.08%
0.00%
0.00%


FRES
81.38%
15.12%
3.26%
0.22%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%


DAYTON
52.04%
40.40%
5.04%
2.08%
0.32%
0.12%
0.00%


MTSU
96.46%
2.76%
0.66%
0.12%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%

 

Here is chance each team wins >=N games

Team
>=1
>=2
>=3
>=4
>=5
>=6


Kansas
99.52%
81.50%
63.14%
42.02%
30.08%
17.90%


MSU
96.46%
82.14%
62.54%
38.74%
23.64%
15.22%


UNC
98.30%
81.94%
51.26%
33.54%
18.86%
10.92%


UVA
99.36%
77.48%
49.22%
27.94%
15.72%
8.46%


VILL
96.30%
68.20%
42.86%
21.86%
14.38%
7.22%


OKLA
92.90%
72.28%
47.00%
29.08%
13.60%
5.72%


WVA
83.02%
63.10%
41.92%
21.24%
10.44%
5.62%


ORE
99.10%
66.58%
38.22%
19.50%
8.00%
3.32%


PUR
84.04%
56.46%
27.74%
13.02%
6.76%
3.30%


UK
88.90%
50.66%
23.24%
13.34%
5.82%
2.88%


IND
89.90%
46.26%
20.70%
10.86%
5.16%
2.42%


XAV
92.64%
61.36%
30.56%
13.02%
5.52%
2.32%


A AND M
90.44%
60.66%
30.26%
16.28%
5.82%
2.22%


DUKE
83.72%
51.78%
28.76%
14.42%
5.38%
1.92%


MIA
92.64%
47.80%
20.30%
8.10%
4.02%
1.58%


ARIZ
55.44%
29.94%
13.86%
5.44%
2.72%
1.22%


MD
81.16%
48.52%
15.36%
6.56%
3.00%
1.18%


IOWA
81.36%
29.38%
13.66%
5.08%
2.50%
0.78%


CAL
72.72%
37.92%
10.96%
3.98%
1.72%
0.70%


BAY
68.88%
33.88%
16.60%
7.02%
2.38%
0.70%


Wicita
44.56%
21.76%
8.90%
3.76%
1.76%
0.68%


ISU
82.16%
36.10%
13.58%
5.18%
1.74%
0.64%


TEX
70.16%
30.08%
11.52%
4.94%
1.48%
0.46%


GONZ
55.42%
31.96%
10.62%
3.90%
1.26%
0.46%


UTAH
81.38%
41.12%
13.48%
5.02%
1.62%
0.42%


UCONN
63.66%
13.90%
7.18%
2.50%
0.90%
0.30%


HALL
44.58%
23.42%
6.46%
2.26%
0.68%
0.24%


VCU
58.26%
16.80%
6.48%
2.26%
0.52%
0.16%


MICH
48.36%
14.52%
5.88%
1.50%
0.34%
0.16%


SYR
52.04%
9.52%
4.02%
1.06%
0.22%
0.14%


WISC
49.40%
18.38%
6.74%
1.66%
0.42%
0.12%


BUT
60.56%
15.86%
6.16%
1.78%
0.48%
0.12%


STJOES
42.56%
12.72%
4.30%
1.20%
0.40%
0.08%


CIN
57.44%
20.70%
8.52%
3.06%
0.70%
0.08%


PROV
49.96%
8.30%
2.32%
0.82%
0.28%
0.08%


PITT
50.60%
19.06%
6.48%
1.80%
0.46%
0.08%


COLO
36.34%
4.56%
1.98%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%


OR ST
41.74%
9.22%
2.56%
0.78%
0.14%
0.04%


ND
51.64%
15.80%
6.12%
1.18%
0.20%
0.04%


YALE
31.12%
9.88%
2.90%
0.86%
0.18%
0.02%


USC
50.04%
9.38%
2.26%
0.52%
0.06%
0.02%


SFA
16.98%
6.58%
2.10%
0.44%
0.12%
0.02%


Aus Peay
0.48%
0.04%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


SDST
18.84%
5.54%
0.50%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%


HAW
27.28%
8.02%
0.88%
0.16%
0.06%
0.00%


BUFF
7.36%
0.50%
0.06%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


TEMPLE
18.64%
2.06%
0.36%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%


UNCA
3.70%
0.36%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


FCGU
0.90%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


UNCW
16.28%
4.46%
0.70%
0.12%
0.00%
0.00%


UNI
29.84%
7.12%
1.68%
0.44%
0.08%
0.00%


GB
9.56%
2.14%
0.24%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


CSB
7.10%
1.70%
0.26%
0.04%
0.00%
0.00%


FGCU
1.70%
0.38%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


CHAT
10.10%
1.04%
0.02%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%


STONY
11.10%
2.04%
0.20%
0.04%
0.00%
0.00%


WEB
7.36%
1.20%
0.20%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%


HAM
0.64%
0.06%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%


TEXAS TECH
39.44%
6.60%
2.06%
0.42%
0.06%
0.00%


UALR
15.96%
4.88%
0.94%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%


IONA
17.84%
2.56%
0.30%
0.08%
0.00%
0.00%


FRES
18.62%
3.50%
0.24%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%


DAYTON
47.96%
7.56%
2.52%
0.44%
0.12%
0.00%


MTSU
3.54%
0.78%
0.12%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%