Helen H. Moore's Blog, page 965
October 30, 2015
GOP “death spiral” shocker: “We’ve gone beyond the tipping point on the demographic changes”






“F*ck the politicians”: Benedict Cumberbatch blasts inadequate response to the migrant crisis after “Hamlet” performance






The GOP’s media warfare goes nuclear: How the RNC is trying to hold journalism hostage
The battle between the Republicans and the media reached ridiculous new heights on Friday when the Republican National Committee announced that it is suspending its partnership with NBC News for a presidential debate in February. RNC chief Reince Priebus told NBC that he was so incensed by the way the most recent debate on CNBC went that he is pulling out, writing, "We simply cannot continue with NBC without full consultation with our campaigns."
Let's put to one side the irony of CNBC—which is home to some of the most rabid free-marketeers around, and which, lest we forget, is where the Tea Party started—suddenly being portrayed as the ultimate symbol of radical left-wing bias. Priebus's letter represents a sharp escalation in hostilities towards the media in general.
The RNC's move must be read in the context of a simmering revolt from the individual presidential campaigns, which had begun banding together to force just this kind of action from the GOP hierarchy. Priebus must have been terrified that he would lose control over the debate process, so he moved to defuse the anger coming from below.
It would have been great if NBC News had responded with similar contempt. The CNBC debate may have been abysmal, but it's not for the Republican Party to dictate terms to a news network, or to look over its shoulder as it crafts the questions for a debate. NBC should have told Priebus to get lost.Sadly, that didn't happen. NBC almost immediately came out with a meek statement, saying,
"This is a disappointing development. However, along with our debate broadcast partners at Telemundo we will work in good faith to resolve this matter with the Republican Party."
Translation: we really, really, really don't want to lose out on this debate.
NBC has some very sound reasons for wanting to stay on the GOP's good side, and few of them are journalistic ones. The network has seen how much of a ratings bonanza the debates have been. They're a gold mine. NBC is surely salivating over the ad rates it can charge and the viewers it can bring in, but it can't do that if it has no debate to air, so it would rather look weak and keep the show on the road than take a stand and see all of that vanish. NBC likely also has some practical concerns about wading into a full-on war with a major political party. What if Republican candidates stop going on "Meet the Press"? Since these kinds of shows see their only guest options as Democratic politicians, Republican politicians and some combination of David Brooks, Andrea Mitchell and maybe a general, this would blow a huge hole in the lineup. NBC's potential capitulation means that Donald Trump will keep deigning to call Chuck Todd from one of his jets every Sunday. The likely outcome to all of this is that the two sides will come to some new agreement—possibly with increased participation from some conservative hosts—and that, once again, Republicans will claim another victory in their endless war against the media. Happy days all around.





“Simply appalling”: Bill Simmons slams ESPN for “callously” shuttering Grantland as fans mourn






There’s one group missing from the talks to end the Syrian civil war: Syrians






October 29, 2015
“It felt like the bullsh*t was flowing directly at us”: Morgan Spurlock turns fact-checking the outrageous GOP debate into a game






Victory for the douchebags: Not taking sides is the easiest way to help the worst guys win






Beyond a three-way in 3-D: The awkward delights of “Love,” Gaspar Noé’s gorgeous real-sex movie






Toke or treat: Another Halloween, another erroneous wave of panic over drug-laced candies

The "ecstasy in Halloween candy" warning looked to be a variant of age-old rumors about poison (and other dangerous substances) being randomly handed out to children in trick-or-treat loot, a persistent but largely baseless fear that's dogged Halloween celebrations for decades. Despite long-held beliefs that Halloween candy tampering is both commonplace and regularly results in harm to children, reports of actual attempts to do so are virtually non-existent (or based on half-truths).Snopes isn't alone in scoffing at the tainted Halloween candy bogeyman. Joel Best, who is on the criminal justice faculty at the University of Delaware, has been studying the frightening phenomenon of passing contaminated goodies to trick-or-treaters for the past 30 years. He's found that the phenomenon is the fear, not the kiddie poisoning. He's placed a number on the verified reports of kids killed or injured by poisoned candy handed out by strangers: zero. “It’s a great thing to worry about, because it happens one day a year,” Best said. “People are imagining this terrible person, who lives down the block, is so crazy that he poisons little children at random. But he’s so tightly wrapped that he only does it one day a year.” Despite all the fearmongering around Halloween candy, only two deaths in the past 45 years have been linked to poisoned candy. One was a 5-year-old Detroit boy thought to have died from ingesting heroin hidden in his candy in 1970. But the boy actually found the drug in a relative's home, and his familyput heroin in the rest of his candy in an attempt to shift blame. The other case, from 1974, was an 8-year-old Houston boy who died fromcyanide-laced Pixie Stix. But it was not a deranged neighbor who did it, but the boy's father, who wanted a $20,000 life insurance pay-out. Dear dad was later found guilty and executed. If you want to worry about something in your kids' Halloween candy, it's probably more productive to worry about sugar and chocolate than dangerous drugs.

The "ecstasy in Halloween candy" warning looked to be a variant of age-old rumors about poison (and other dangerous substances) being randomly handed out to children in trick-or-treat loot, a persistent but largely baseless fear that's dogged Halloween celebrations for decades. Despite long-held beliefs that Halloween candy tampering is both commonplace and regularly results in harm to children, reports of actual attempts to do so are virtually non-existent (or based on half-truths).Snopes isn't alone in scoffing at the tainted Halloween candy bogeyman. Joel Best, who is on the criminal justice faculty at the University of Delaware, has been studying the frightening phenomenon of passing contaminated goodies to trick-or-treaters for the past 30 years. He's found that the phenomenon is the fear, not the kiddie poisoning. He's placed a number on the verified reports of kids killed or injured by poisoned candy handed out by strangers: zero. “It’s a great thing to worry about, because it happens one day a year,” Best said. “People are imagining this terrible person, who lives down the block, is so crazy that he poisons little children at random. But he’s so tightly wrapped that he only does it one day a year.” Despite all the fearmongering around Halloween candy, only two deaths in the past 45 years have been linked to poisoned candy. One was a 5-year-old Detroit boy thought to have died from ingesting heroin hidden in his candy in 1970. But the boy actually found the drug in a relative's home, and his familyput heroin in the rest of his candy in an attempt to shift blame. The other case, from 1974, was an 8-year-old Houston boy who died fromcyanide-laced Pixie Stix. But it was not a deranged neighbor who did it, but the boy's father, who wanted a $20,000 life insurance pay-out. Dear dad was later found guilty and executed. If you want to worry about something in your kids' Halloween candy, it's probably more productive to worry about sugar and chocolate than dangerous drugs.






“Lights out for Jeb”: The most brutal responses to Jeb Bush’s terrible, horrible, no good, very bad debate
At this point, it seems the likelihood of Bush a) tarnishing his reputation and b) inadvertently helping Donald Trump win the GOP nomination greatly exceeds the chance that he could turn things around. His body language betrays a guy who doesn’t really want to do what it takes to win today — and who is out of step with the current Republican Party. [...] Thoughtful conservatives, if they are to stop Donald Trump and Ben Carson, must — at some point — coalesce around an alternative. Marco Rubio seems the most likely choice. Unless Jeb Bush destroys him. Does Bush really want that to be his legacy?And it's not just conservatives piling on the Jeb's dead bandwagon. CNN's Alisyn Camerota criticized Bush for not appearing on "New Day" Thursday to recap his debate performance the night before, noting that various other candidates made the time to appear post-debate. Nate Silver said "Jeb Bush is toast,” noting that FiveThirtyEight's staff straw poll gave "Bush’s average grade was a C-, putting him at the bottom of the 10-candidate group." “Bush needed to appear as the strongest establishment candidate,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “He didn’t achieve that.” As for Rubio, who delivered the knockout punch to Jeb on the debate stage, his nomination prospects have surged to more than one-in-three in the wake of the CNBC debate, according to the prediction markets.





