J. Bradford DeLong's Blog, page 2193

September 25, 2010

September 24, 2010

Citigroup's View of the Obama Administration in February 2009...

On 25 February 2009, Ryan O'Connell and Jerry Dorost of Citigroup's research arm wrote an "Industry Flash" about Obama Administration banking policy:




New Treasury Stress Test Guidelines Do Not Appear Onerous




Treasury's plan appears relatively bank-friendly and investor-friendly — The Treasury has released guidelines for new stress tests for the largest US banks and the terms for the banks to issue convertible preferred securities to the government to address any capital...

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Published on September 24, 2010 13:24

Fiscal Policy Multipliers at the End of the Great Depression

The smart, keen-eyed, and incredibly fast-reading Ryan Avent directs us to Robert Gordon and Robert Krenn:







Fiscal policy: War on depression: ROBERT GORDON and Robert Krenn have produced some interesting new assessments of the fiscal impact of America's military build-up from 1939 to 1941. Here's their abstract:







This paper is about the size of fiscal multipliers and the sources of recovery from the Great Depression. Its baseline result is that 89.1 percent of the...

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Published on September 24, 2010 13:00

Citigroup Attacks Doug Henwood

Doug writes:




http://lbo-news.com/2010/09/24/citigroup-feels-violated/: This morning, WordPress informed me that they'd received a "valid DMCA notice"—as in Digital Millennium Copyright Act—notice about a Citigroup research report I posted here in February 2009. Until the issue could be "resolved"—meaning I acknowledged this grave offense against intellectual property—I couldn't post anything to this blog. Once I said "Yes, Sir," my posting privileges were restored. The document was, of...

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Published on September 24, 2010 12:01

Ed Luce Worries About America's Long-Term Economic Development Strategy

Applied Materials is the canary in the coal mine.



Ed Luce:




Summers’ departure opens door for new ideas: Given that Congress appears to have abandoned any pretence of a serious debate on what needs to be done to restore America’s declining economic competitiveness, the move will doubtless come as an intellectual liberation for Mr Summers. The bigger question is whether Mr Summers’ departure offers Mr Obama his own opportunity for intellectual liberation.



There is barely an economist...

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Published on September 24, 2010 10:37

The Republican View of America: 80% Male, 20% Female; 75% Over 50, 25% Under 50; 99% White, 1% Horse

Daily Kos: A vanilla-scented pledge





Jed Lewison writes:







Daily Kos: Republicans say that today they announced their pledge with America.... [L:]ook at this collage... of every person photographed in their "governing document"...







This calls my attention to the fact that the Republican congressional caucus does not look like America: the front ends of horses are underrepresented and the back ends of horses overrepresented...






Daily Kos: A vanilla-scented pledge





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Published on September 24, 2010 09:30

Austin Frakt Redraws the CBO's Figures to Show Us What Is Going on with the Long-Term Budget Outlook

Austiin:




Doing CBO’s job | The Incidental Economist: By now you know the story. If not, it’s here. I just want the 2010 CBO projections to be in the same format as the 2008 ones were. This is important because the way the data are displayed either highlights or somewhat conceals what’s driving federal spending. CBO didn’t produce consistent figures, but now I have with their data. See below. This is the right way to view this information.




Doing CBO2019s job | The Incidental Economist





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Published on September 24, 2010 09:21

September 23, 2010

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