David J. Hand


Born
in Peterborough, The United Kingdom
June 30, 1950

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David J. Hand is Senior Research Investigator and Emeritus Professor of Mathematics at Imperial College, London, and Chief Scientific Advisor to Winton Capital Management. He is a Fellow of the British Academy, and a recipient of the Guy Medal of the Royal Statistical Society. He has served (twice) as President of the Royal Statistical Society, and is on the Board of the UK Statistics Authority. He has published 300 scientific papers and 25 books: his next book, The Improbability Principle, is due out in February 2014. He has broad research interests in areas including classification, data mining, anomaly detection, and the foundations of statistics. His applications interests include psychology, physics, and the retail credit industry - he ...more

Average rating: 3.68 · 1,679 ratings · 196 reviews · 35 distinct worksSimilar authors
The Improbability Principle...

3.72 avg rating — 1,255 ratings — published 2014 — 19 editions
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Statistics: A Very Short In...

3.54 avg rating — 336 ratings — published 2008 — 11 editions
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Principles of Data Mining

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3.75 avg rating — 28 ratings — published 2001 — 2 editions
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Measurement: A Very Short I...

3.75 avg rating — 24 ratings3 editions
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Statistics

3.67 avg rating — 15 ratings — published 2010 — 4 editions
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Information Generation: How...

3.50 avg rating — 12 ratings — published 2006
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Handbook of Small Data Sets

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really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 3 ratings — published 1993 — 2 editions
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The Statistical Consultant ...

2.50 avg rating — 2 ratings — published 1987 — 3 editions
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Construction and Assessment...

really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 1 rating — published 1997 — 2 editions
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Measurement Theory and Prac...

really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 1 rating — published 2004 — 2 editions
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“Unfortunately, we generally find it difficult to assess very small probabilities. We typically overestimate them (thinking the events more likely than they are) and underestimate very high probabilities.”
David J. Hand, The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day

“Events don’t actually occur as often as people predict they will. And this in turn is related to hindsight bias (the tendency to see past events as being more predictable than they were at the time), which I’ll discuss shortly.”
David J. Hand, The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day

“in real statistical analyses the computer takes over the tedium of arithmetic juggling.”
David J. Hand, Statistics: A Very Short Introduction



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