David J. Hand





David J. Hand


Born
in Peterborough, The United Kingdom
June 30, 1950

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David J. Hand is Senior Research Investigator and Emeritus Professor of Mathematics at Imperial College, London, and Chief Scientific Advisor to Winton Capital Management. He is a Fellow of the British Academy, and a recipient of the Guy Medal of the Royal Statistical Society. He has served (twice) as President of the Royal Statistical Society, and is on the Board of the UK Statistics Authority. He has published 300 scientific papers and 25 books: his next book, The Improbability Principle, is due out in February 2014. He has broad research interests in areas including classification, data mining, anomaly detection, and the foundations of statistics. His applications interests include psychology, physics, and the retail credit industry - he ...more

Average rating: 3.66 · 1,324 ratings · 163 reviews · 33 distinct worksSimilar authors
The Improbability Principle...

3.70 avg rating — 1,012 ratings — published 2014 — 17 editions
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Statistics: A Very Short In...

3.48 avg rating — 241 ratings — published 2008 — 9 editions
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Principles of Data Mining

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3.84 avg rating — 25 ratings — published 2001 — 2 editions
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Information Generation: How...

3.55 avg rating — 11 ratings — published 2006
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Statistics

3.69 avg rating — 13 ratings — published 2010 — 4 editions
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Measurement: A Very Short I...

really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 10 ratings2 editions
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Handbook of Small Data Sets

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3.50 avg rating — 2 ratings — published 1993 — 2 editions
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Construction and Assessment...

really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 1 rating — published 1997 — 2 editions
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Measurement Theory and Prac...

really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 1 rating — published 2004 — 2 editions
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Practical Longitudinal Data...

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liked it 3.00 avg rating — 1 rating — published 1996 — 2 editions
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“Unfortunately, we generally find it difficult to assess very small probabilities. We typically overestimate them (thinking the events more likely than they are) and underestimate very high probabilities.”
David J. Hand, The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day

“Events don’t actually occur as often as people predict they will. And this in turn is related to hindsight bias (the tendency to see past events as being more predictable than they were at the time), which I’ll discuss shortly.”
David J. Hand, The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day

“It’s the very essence of science that its conclusions can change, that is, that its truths are not absolute. The intrinsic good sense of this is contained within the remark reportedly made by the eminent economist John Maynard Keynes, responding to the criticism that he had changed his position on monetary policy during the 1930s Depression: “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?”
David J. Hand, The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day

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