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Feeling Nostalgic? The archives > Oscar Prediction time!

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message 1: by Sarah (new)

Sarah | 13815 comments As I recall, Jackie is very good at this. I once won a pool with something like 23/25 correct, but I've never gotten close to that since then. I think it was because money was on the line. I was motivated to choose with my brain instead of my heart.

Here's my ballot:
* Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”
* Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”
* Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”
* Colin Firth in “The King's Speech”
* James Franco in “127 Hours”

Actor in a Supporting Role

* Christian Bale in “The Fighter”
* John Hawkes in “Winter's Bone”
* Jeremy Renner in “The Town”
* Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”
* Geoffrey Rush in “The King's Speech”

Actress in a Leading Role

* Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”
* Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”
* Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter's Bone”
* Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”
* Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”

(I know...Natalie Portman will probably win...)

Actress in a Supporting Role

* Amy Adams in “The Fighter”
* Helena Bonham Carter in “The King's Speech”
* Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”
* Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”
* Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”

Animated Feature Film

* “How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
* “The Illusionist” Sylvain Chomet
* “Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich

Art Direction

* “Alice in Wonderland”
Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara

* “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1”
Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
* “Inception”
Production Design: Guy Hendrix Dyas; Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat
* “The King's Speech”
Production Design: Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Judy Farr
* “True Grit”
Production Design: Jess Gonchor; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh


* “Black Swan” Matthew Libatique
* “Inception” Wally Pfister
* “The King's Speech” Danny Cohen
* “The Social Network” Jeff Cronenweth
* “True Grit” Roger Deakins
Costume Design

* “Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood
* “I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi
* “The King's Speech” Jenny Beavan
* “The Tempest” Sandy Powell
* “True Grit” Mary Zophres


* “Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky
* “The Fighter” David O. Russell
* “The King's Speech” Tom Hooper
* “The Social Network” David Fincher
* “True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Documentary (Feature)

* “Exit through the Gift Shop” Banksy and Jaimie D'Cruz
* “Gasland” Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic
* “Inside Job” Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
* “Restrepo” Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger
* “Waste Land” Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley

Documentary (Short Subject)

* “Killing in the Name” Jed Rothstein
* “Poster Girl” Sara Nesson and Mitchell W. Block
* “Strangers No More” Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon
* “Sun Come Up” Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger
* “The Warriors of Qiugang” Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon

Film Editing

* “Black Swan” Andrew Weisblum
* “The Fighter” Pamela Martin
* “The King's Speech” Tariq Anwar
* “127 Hours” Jon Harris
* “The Social Network” Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

Foreign Language Film

* “Biutiful” Mexico
* “Dogtooth” Greece
* “In a Better World” Denmark
* “Incendies” Canada
* “Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)” Algeria


* “Barney's Version” Adrien Morot
* “The Way Back” Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
* “The Wolfman” Rick Baker and Dave Elsey

Music (Original Score)

* “How to Train Your Dragon” John Powell
* “Inception” Hans Zimmer
* “The King's Speech” Alexandre Desplat
* “127 Hours” A.R. Rahman
* “The Social Network” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

Music (Original Song)

* “Coming Home” from “Country Strong” Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
* “I See the Light” from “Tangled” Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater
* “If I Rise” from “127 Hours” Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
* “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3" Music and Lyric by Randy Newman

Best Picture

* “Black Swan” Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers
* “The Fighter” David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers
* “Inception” Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers
* “The Kids Are All Right” Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers
* “The King's Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers
* “127 Hours” Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers
* “The Social Network” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers
* “Toy Story 3” Darla K. Anderson, Producer
* “True Grit” Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers
* “Winter's Bone" Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers

Short Film (Animated)

* “Day & Night” Teddy Newton
* “The Gruffalo” Jakob Schuh and Max Lang
* “Let's Pollute” Geefwee Boedoe
* “The Lost Thing” Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann
* “Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)” Bastien Dubois

Short Film (Live Action)

* “The Confession” Tanel Toom
* “The Crush” Michael Creagh
* “God of Love” Luke Matheny
* “Na Wewe” Ivan Goldschmidt
* “Wish 143” Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite

Sound Editing

* “Inception” Richard King
* “Toy Story 3” Tom Myers and Michael Silvers
* “Tron: Legacy” Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
* “True Grit” Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey
* “Unstoppable” Mark P. Stoeckinger

Sound Mixing

* “Inception” Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
* “The King's Speech” Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
* “Salt” Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
* “The Social Network” Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
* “True Grit” Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

Visual Effects

* “Alice in Wonderland” Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips
* “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi
* “Hereafter” Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojansky and Joe Farrell
* “Inception” Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
* “Iron Man 2” Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

* “127 Hours” Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
* “The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
* “Toy Story 3” Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
* “True Grit” Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
* “Winter's Bone” Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

Writing (Original Screenplay)

* “Another Year” Written by Mike Leigh
* “The Fighter” Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson;
Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
* “Inception” Written by Christopher Nolan
* “The Kids Are All Right” Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
* “The King's Speech” Screenplay by David Seidler

message 2: by smetchie (new)

smetchie | 4034 comments Ooohh! I'm horrible at this but I love the concept. My friends have an Oscar party with voting and a pot to win. I've never won. Ever.

message 3: by RandomAnthony (new)

RandomAnthony | 14536 comments If Natalie Portman doesn't win for Black Swan there is no justice in the world.

message 4: by RandomAnthony (new)

RandomAnthony | 14536 comments Of course, the only other movie I saw from the five was Winter's Bone.

message 5: by Sarah (new)

Sarah | 13815 comments Yeah, I don't think The Kids are Alright should be rewarded, but I thought Annette Bening was the best part of it. OK, her and the food.

I usually write drinking game rules even if I'm not drinking that night.

Here are some generic ones:
Drink if someone gets music-ed off before they are done with their speech.
Drink if you spot a seat-warmer.

And specific:
Drink if someone makes a juvenile Winter's Bone joke.
Drink any time someone mentions that James Franco is a host and a nominee.
Chug every time you see someone in a gorilla mask.

message 6: by Sarah (new)

Sarah | 13815 comments Oh, holy cow! If I had realized "The Lost Thing" was Shaun Tan's Lost Thing I would have voted for it! Shaun Tan has an Oscar! Hooray!

message 7: by Phil (new)

Phil | 11617 comments A gorilla mask? I saw a bear suit in the opening skit.

Jackie "the Librarian" | 8993 comments Dang it, I wish I'd noticed this thread BEFORE the Oscars tonight.
Yay to Shaun Tan!!! There was squealing from three youth services librarians in my row at the film society tonight when we noticed he'd won an Oscar!

message 9: by Michael (new)

Michael BunWat wrote: "I'm so happy I was wrong about Best Picture. :) "

So am I! I thought The Social Network was really overrated.

message 10: by Jim (new)

Jim | 6485 comments I watched The Social Network last night. The best I can say is it was alright.

message 11: by Sarah (new)

Sarah | 13815 comments I was fine with The King's Speech winning best picture. I wasn't sure the director deserved his award though. I thought it was a good movie because of the performances and the script more than the direction. I guess being an invisible director is a skill as well, though.

message 12: by Michele (new)

Michele bookloverforever (lovebooks14) | 1970 comments The people I thought would win, did. However, I think Helena Bonham Carter gave one of her best (understated)performances in "The King's Speech". Melissa Leo just happened to be brilliant in "The Fighter". I thought "Toy Story III" would win best animated but I still think "How to Tame Your Dragon" was better and newer.

message 13: by Sarah (new)

Sarah | 13815 comments The animated feature category is hampered by the fact that they have some dumb rule that only 3 movies can be in the category if less than __ animated features opened in LA during the awards period. I think this year had a ton of worthwhile animated features, but only three were allowed. Despicable Me was quite clever and well done, and I've heard that the Guardians of Gahool or whatever was very well animated, and that Tangled was great old-school Disney.

That said Toy Story III was fantastic.

message 14: by RandomAnthony (new)

RandomAnthony | 14536 comments Am I the only person who really liked The Social network?

message 15: by janine (new)

janine | 7715 comments i didn't even finish watching it.

message 16: by Sarah (new)

Sarah | 13815 comments RandomAnthony wrote: "Am I the only person who really liked The Social network?"

I liked it. I thought it was really interesting. I just didn't love it.

message 17: by Jim (new)

Jim | 6485 comments Same here RA, I found it interesting, just not that entertaining.

Jackie "the Librarian" | 8993 comments I thought The Social Network was fascinating look at the beginning of an influential social phenomenon that I wanted to know more about.

I was impressed that the screenwriter and director could make what could have been very dull - someone hunched over a computer for months and years thinking about algorhythms and page layout - into an interesting two hour movie.

I especially appreciated that they could do that with such an unsympathetic main character as Mark Zuckerberg. Which is why I completely understand why it lost to The King's Speech. :)

message 19: by Michael (new)

Michael Jim wrote: "Same here RA, I found it interesting, just not that entertaining."

I thought it was entertaing but not interesting.

message 20: by Brittomart (new)

Brittomart I thought The Social Network was okay. Just okay.

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