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message 2101:
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Marc
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Oct 08, 2015 02:04AM

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No Will, it's politics. If the tables were reversed, do you honestly believe that they would do any different?

He could send a minion in his place.

It has to be the prime minister, not a substitute.

It has to be the prime minister, not a substitute."
But he's a republican, and he would be elected, which is something the Queen will never be.

message 2108:
by
Geoff (G. Robbins) (merda constat variat altitudo)
(last edited Oct 08, 2015 03:16AM)
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This is an extraordinary wealth of information that any prime minister would be a fool to not take advantage of, republican or monarchist. Furthermore, her knowldge of people at the highest levels of government is unique.

Somebody is angling for an OBE :)


This reminds me of a play I saw recently called Handbagged. It was about the Queen and Mrs Thatcher and when they had their regular meetings...very funny it was too.

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/...

Syria could be a lot of nasty little wars all going on at once with the Russians getting pulled in deeper and deeper and with a strong possibility of ISIS counterattacking through the Russian Islamic population, most of which is Sunni. It could bleed Russia far more severely than Afghanistan bled the Soviets
I could see Europe catching a whole lot of refugees and possibly collateral terrorism. But it could suck Russia in so deep they haven't the strength left to continue pushing West into the Ukraine or the Baltic States

I read that during the Cold War if the USSR had turned West, NATO would have had to use battlefield nukes on the third day, due to the sheer weight of Soviet numbers. China is in the same position as the USSR was and if you remember your history it was that same mass of manpower that drove back McArthur in Korea, who wanted Truman to nuke Peking and other Chinese cities.
This is why we need a nuclear deterrent.

On the positive side it'll be a grim warning and might provoke caution and common sense.
From a more cynical point of view, China has never let its claim to Siberia lapse. In 1820 the Chinese border almost reached Lake Baikal and was well north of the Amur river. If Russia starts to go down, they might take over Eastern Russia with Western backing to stop things falling into the hands of various terrorist groups. So if Russia does get itself involved in a long messy war in the Middle East, the Chinese might want to keep their hands free for that.

I read that during the Cold War if the USSR had turned ..."
Actually Geoff I believe it is entire why we do NOT need nuclear: how long before another myopic stupid general demands a nuke strike because he is losing? And an intellectual pygmy like Cameron presses the button? Who wins then?

Nobody has ever been stupid enough to give that power to a British Politician
The finger on the button is the Captain and one other officer on each Trident (or equivalent) Submarine.
They have a letter from the Prime Minister, but almost by definition the letter will be read after the PM is most probably dead and the two officers will decide how to launch the reactive strike.
Obviously they might have changed the system recently, but that's the one we always had


"One of the penalties for refusing to participate in politics is that you end up being governed by your inferiors."
Although obviously I don't like Plato would have expected you to abandon your home city to take part in the governing of another


A bit like having a Labour government with Corbyn as prime minister.

Wasn't there a Monty Python sketch about that?

Wasn't there a Monty Python sketch about that?"
Most probably.

A bit like having a Labour governmen..."
Actually Geoff, no they won't. (Except possibly for the French). No one has invaded Germany since WW11 have they? Or Greece, or Italy, or Spain, for example or Australia or New Zealand for example.

Because they are all party of treaties where if they're attacked then they will be defended in kind, which means that if they're attacked with nuclear weapons, nuclear weapons will be used against the attacker.
But actually it's impossible to prove, because there hasn't been a 'proper' war involving major powers fighting other major powers. Nuclear weapons may (or it may be chance) have deterred nuclear powers fighting nuclear powers.
The usual analogy is that the deterrent of chemical weapons (the 19th century technology equivalent) have, since 1918, never been used on an opponent that had them
The one historical fact we know is that the one use of a nuclear bomb was against a country which didn't have one. The reason Russia scrambled desperately to get one was because of a fear that the Americans might provoke a war which they would use as an excuse to wipe out major Russian cities.
(Whether the fear was well founded is an entirely different matter. There's an interesting wiki on Truman, MacArthur and nuclear weapon use in Korea https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preside... )


The problem is what does he do.
Parliament has authorised the RAF to fly bombing missions in Iraq
Since then the Russians have arrived and so far, whilst 'fighting in Syria' they've flown over much of Turkey and fired cruise missiles into Iran
So there is a problem. If Parliament still wants the RAF Planes to be there, there is a risk that they will come within 'combat range' which is anywhere up to 100km (Ironically it's higher if you're peaceful because it's then easier to get a missile lock on you.)
So Parliament has a decision to make. It has put British Pilots within harms way. The choice is pulling them out, giving them the means to defend themselves if attacked, or talking to the Russians to try and work out some way of everybody knowing who is where and reducing the chance of accidents.
At the moment the Americans (which means us and the Turks as well) are trying to do the last of these so Parliament has a simple choice of which of the two it does until the agreement comes into being.
Actually I'd trust the judgement of Tornado pilots over the judgement of MPs in pretty well all cases, so it's probably not a bad call


Once the basics are established, paid for by aid, then the migrants themselves can be organized or organize themselves to build towns and villages, create farm land (much aid needed for this) schools, hospitals and so on.
I didn't say anything because I thought others might think it daft or a flawed plan for political reasons.
Then I noticed a group from the House of Lords suggesting a large piece of land should be bought. Then I noticed a similar idea to buy land came up with another group.
Yet nothing, NOTHING, has been done, as far as I know.
Is it such a daft plan?

And where exactly would this 'empty' piece of land be?
Anything decent would already be populated.
So let's ask the indigenous people.

Ask the Palestinians how that worked out for them...

And yes, finding the land would be difficult, but not impossible - if the will is there. I've lived in Africa, scrubby bush style Africa, and I've seen and been part of creating thriving farm land, trees growing where none had ever had the chance to do before. I've watched as one mud hut village caught on as to how to use water wisely, and create pasture for goats and a few oxen and cows. It can be done. Impoverished African countries might be persuaded to part with sparsely populated or unpopulated land for a big enough sum of money.
I am not saying that no migrants should be allowed to stay in Europe, but it is clear now that many more are arriving than Europe can cope with.


As far as I can work out, let's assume everybody in Europe takes their quota of migrants.
Once the migrants have been accepted and got their papers, what's to stop them going to Germany anyway?
(That is actually a question because I don't know)

Refugees who have been granted asylum won't be able to take advantage of it.


RMF, you must be as disappointed as me that The Sturgeon has ruled out another referendum. That means we'll have to carry on propping you lot up.
message 2147:
by
Geoff (G. Robbins) (merda constat variat altitudo)
(last edited Oct 15, 2015 11:42AM)
(new)

Well, normally a political party gives the leader a grace period to bed in, so to speak. Yesterday there were 20 abstentions and 16 MPs who managed to get out of voting after Corbyn had threatened sackings if they didn't vote against and then changed his mind.
I think this is the first vote under the whip.


As for the suffering, I don't agree completely. The tax credits were a mess from the start, as HMRC were never going to administer it properly. The delays in processing sent families into debt paying back overpayments or not receiving what they deserved. They were a political benefit at its worst that increased dependence on benefits and subsidising big businesses who paid minimum wages, so it scared people into voting Labour to maintain the dependency. That makes Osborne little stunt seem completely innocent by comparison to Brown's utter cynicism.
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