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Pamela Crane
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To KDP or not KDP...that is the question



In my case, I couldn't see limiting my distribution for no gain. So I moved them out of that program and deistributed through Smashwords. Got no giant boost from that either, but at least I did push a few copies.
YMMV
I'm new too and my thinking is that to gain exposure to a larger audience via Select and KU is a good move for my next pub. You only need to leave it in for a three-month stint, and can then take it elsewhere if you're not getting anywhere. But I think to get help help on growing an audience it's a good move. Make sure to do the free days, and try to get even a couple of advance reviews up to attract readers.



On everything else, which includes two standalone books and a fledgling series that won't be completed for a while, there's no real advantage at the moment.

Christina, I follow a similar thing you do--I offer my prequel for free (perma-free, though) and that equates to pretty decent sales of the sequel (on all channels, though, not just Amazon). But perhaps I'd get even more "sales/borrows" if I put the sequel on Select... I just hate to lose my other sales on other channels while experimenting...
Ken, I'll be curious to hear if Kindle Unlimited ends up working out better for you...





Btw, do borrows count toward rankings?

Not towards bestseller rankings. How -- or if -- the KU programs handles ranking is not something I've investigated yet. This is an area where Amazon may make changes.
We face the opposite problem you mentioned earlier: if we gave up the KU income, how would we replace it thru other outlets? Given that Amazon has are 65% of the market, our work would have to sell as well on all other outlets just to break even. Since all outlets are not created equal, that seems unlikely, and that we'd actually make more seems very unlikely.
If the KU payout slumps a lot (it's been about $1.40 recently; last month a little less), that would change, but the program does seem to be growing in popularity and it does not seem to be competing strongly with sales.

However, that was all before KU. Tomorrow, I'm going to repeat the experiment by dropping Select again, even though borrows account for almost 60% of my sales on Amazon. With the payouts for KU dropping each month, it won't be long before they reach $1. Time will tell if I have better luck with other channels now.

(1) length and (2) price. The word I'm hearing from another forum (OK, KBoards) is that KS/KU is very positive for shorter lengths with low price points, especially when Borrow payouts exceed the sales price.

What we've seen -- and this is just our experience -- is that while payouts have dropped a little, the number of loans is going up, so net income is still increasing.
The main question is the extent to which Amazon is subsidizing KU. If Amazon is running a loss on it, at some point they'll make changes, but I've heard no reliable data on that yet.

There are some things that annoy me, like the All Star program that just rewards those who are already making enough to buy boats and those who know how to game the system. But overall, I don't see Amazon ever allowing the borrow payout to get much below $1.25 based on how much they throw into the pot at the end of each month.

Question for you: How are you offering "the first book free at least once a month" when Select only gives you 5 days over a 3-month period? Are you spreading those 5 over 3 months? Or... ? Thanks!

(1) length and (2) price. The word I'm hearing from another forum (OK, KBoards) is that KS/KU is very positive for shorter leng..."
So from what I gather from this thread, KU can be profitable if you aren't seeing many sales in other channels, and it's ideal for shorter books?
Any other input on how to "work the system" to make KU a profitable venture? While I don't like the idea of being exclusive (since I do actually get decent sales from my other channels), a lot of non-Select authors have complained on how their sales decreased after KU was implemented, which leads me to believe that KU subscribers are only picking KU books and thus if you don't belong, you're essentially losing potential sales.

Question for you: How ar..."
Yes, once a month means one day each month. I don't see any advantage to offering my promos for any longer than 24 hours.

I have heard different sides from the KU debate, but I cannot evaluate them because things might differ by genre, and things also appear quite different based on relative sales volume. At a low volume, one is basically talking about "random" events and it very difficult to assign a "cause" to them.
I doubt there is anyway to make KU "more" profitable, it's just a different way for people to get your book. Once a person joins KU, price doesn't matter to them or length. If they are interested, they can grab it.
The "shorter is better" idea is probably an artifact of the condition that 10% of the book must be read for the loan to count. So for our 1st book, that's ~16 pages, while for the second book, it's well over 50. It might be the case in general that people are more likely read at least 16 pages than 50, but we haven't seen that.
Of course, we don't know how many people borrow the book and don't read it, so the percentage per book can't be ascertained. But all our books do well in KU.

Aha. Thanks, Christina.

For Countdown deals (I think Christina is referring to free promos above), you can run them for a week, but our experience has been that we see a sales boost for the first 3 days or so, and then sales return to roughly the normal level, which means we're just losing money at that point.
We have done a couple of Countdown deals with multiple steps ($0.99, $1.99, $2.99) but saw no benefit. My feeling is that reader don't see a $3.99 book offered for $2.99 as "discounted" so at that point, we were again, just losing money. For us, discounting the book by at least 50% for 3-4 days has given the best results.
Our experience is the same as Christina's on free promos: two days in a row confers no additional advantage over one.

I have heard different sides from ..."
Thanks, Owen. I think it may be worth a shot with my next book and see how it performs for me. Then if it seems to earn more profit than I'm getting from my other sales channels for my other books, I might do the switch for all of my books.


That's an interesting datum, as I think short stories collections are a different market than novels. I was involved in publishing a short story collection on Amazon 2 years ago, and its sales were quite dismal at any price. People did download it when it was free (100's or copies per free day), but I doubt it sold 10 copies in a year, and the author pulled it. (Never got a single review either.)
I thought it was well written and well produced, but it was by a new author without any other books, and never got any traction on Amazon. I wonder if it might have done better of Smashwords.

Interesting. I read somewhere recently that Smashwords is a better venue for short stories and singles than Kindle. I've got some books exclusive with KDP and a a few that are not. Interestingly, a short story I have with Amazon just sold a couple of copies this month - I've got it on Barnes and Noble as well but I never get much out of that venue.



I've been quite happy with Amazon's terms, including KDP Select.

Can you elaborate on that? I've heard the same thing, but if anything KU may have increased our sales. And of course, KU pays as well. Obviously, that won't apply to everyone, but I've yet to see any actually numerical data on the question.

Are the X's days? So 1 day with 3 sales? And 21 days on Play + Amazon with no sales?



Histogram of sales on the dif..."
I think you are forgetting the biggest factor: You have one book on Amazon and Play, versus two books on Smashwords. Multiple publications make a difference. Especially when the stories are part of a series. Very few people are going to take a chance on the first in series with nothing to follow up, especially if there are no reviews that cover the basics (is this a cliffhanger is the biggest).

Based on the feedback here, I suspected it might be a bad move, but I tend to be a risk taker, so I took a shot. I'm planning on using a Countdown Deal once I'm allowed, coupled with some corresponding promotions to generate sales, but so far I'm not too thrilled, since my rankings have dropped since going with KDP. Plus, I hear the ads don't work, so I don't want to throw money at that.
I'm still trying to figure out how to make the most out of KDP, but so far it's a dismal regret...


How do you 'offer it free for a day or so' on SmashWords.
You can change you pricing on Smashwords and then change it back to your original price when you want the promotion to end or, if you prefer to offer it to only a select group of people for free, you can generate a coupon for the book and give those people the coupon code.

I did it with a coupon. You give out the coupon code and the buyer presents the coupon at checkout.

Recall that Amazon has a 30-day and a 90-day new-release procedure. Any new release gets its greatest visibility for 30 days, and after 90 days, it falls out new releases entirely.
So almost all books show a dip after 30 days and steep fall-off after 90 days.

Is that the book you also have a free sample up on Amazon for?

True, but my biggest seller has been out for 2 years, and it showed the biggest drop after taking it out of Select.

Beyond basic things I've heard of (like the 30-day or 90-cycle), what Amazon does is pretty mysterious. I've heard suggestions that KDP Select books enjoy a marketing advantage, probably based on a sales threshold, but I have no reliable info on this.



Any input on Kindle Unlimited and if it's worth it to be exclusive? I've gone back and for with this distribution dilemma...