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Sport > "BALL UP!" - Val's 2024 Aussie Rules Footy Tipping *Open to Everyone*

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message 501: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments If anyone would like to view the AFL Ladder before submitting next week's tips, it's at http://www.afl.com.au/ladder
or https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/ladder

ROUND 17

Friday Jul 5
Collingwood Magpies v Essendon Bombers (in Melbourne)

Saturday Jul 6
North Melbourne Kangaroos v Gold Coast Suns (in Melbourne)
Port Adelaide Power v Western Bulldogs (in Adelaide)
Geelong Cats v Hawthorn Hawks (in Geelong)
GWS Giants v Carlton Blues (in Sydney)
Fremantle Dockers v Richmond Tigers (in Perth)

Sunday Jul 7
Melbourne Demons v West Coast Eagles (in Melbourne)
St Kilda Saints v Sydney Swans (in Melbourne)
Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows (in Brisbane)

If punters could lodge their tips by midnight THURSDAY Jul 4 (your time) it would be a great help, although I can accept them up until 10.30am FRIDAY (your time) if absolutely necessary.


message 502: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Every team analysed after Round 16 in just three words.

ADELAIDE CROWS: Signs of life.

BRISBANE LIONS: Home issues unresolved?

CARLTON: Premiership quarter surge.

COLLINGWOOD: Close loss? What?!

ESSENDON: Uh oh. Wobbles.

FREMANTLE: Brilliant! Top four?

GEELONG: Badly needed that.

GOLD COAST SUNS: Out Collingwood-ed Collingwood.

GWS GIANTS: Deserve more scrutiny.

HAWTHORN: Win off fifth!

MELBOURNE: Painful but positive.

NORTH MELBOURNE: More progress shown.

PORT ADELAIDE: Loved Ken’s emotion.(Coach Ken Hinkley)

RICHMOND: First half brave.

ST KILDA: King so frustrating.

SYDNEY SWANS: Totally acceptable loss.

WEST COAST EAGLES: That was awful.

WESTERN BULLDOGS: Injuries? Illness? Bont-acular. (Marcus Bontempelli playing out of his skin despite illness and injury worries)


message 503: by suzysunshine7 (new)

suzysunshine7 | 16038 comments Val wrote: "In case Suzy is unwell or having computer problems, I'm taking the liberty of tipping for her as follows:

Demons by 7"


Thanks Val ... x x x


message 504: by suzysunshine7 (new)

suzysunshine7 | 16038 comments Val wrote: "Just a heads up folks, I decided to make donations to our various charities because our tax year ends on June 30 and some charities were getting donations doubled (by governments??) so I thought I'..."

WoW!!! ... what a wonderful and generous thing to do! ... thanks Val ... x x x


message 505: by suzysunshine7 (new)

suzysunshine7 | 16038 comments YAYYY! ... Congratulations Anita! ... x


message 506: by Tim (new)

Tim Watts (redswatts) | 550 comments Crikey! 3-way tie at top and one point to 4th. How good is this?


message 507: by Sj (last edited Jul 01, 2024 12:28PM) (new)

Sj Brooke | 2519 comments ROUND 17

Collingwood Magpies +17
Gold Coast Suns
Port Adelaide Power
Geelong Cats
Carlton Blues
Fremantle Dockers
Melbourne Demons
Sydney Swans
Brisbane Lions


message 508: by Tim (new)

Tim Watts (redswatts) | 550 comments The weeks continue to get tougher and some teams (yes the Hawks) are messing with our heads. This week tips as follows and I had originally picked the Bombers but the Pies are nearly back to full strength:
Pies by 8
Gold Coast ( although they do not seem to play outside of Queensland)
Port ( their season cannot be over yet surely?)
Hawks ( Geelong are going back and Hawks rising)
Blues ..unstoppable
Dockers...will build on this week
Demons.. although no foregone conclusion but Eagles seem to have had their moment
Swans..need to bounce back but Saints our bogey side
Lions


message 509: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Sj wrote: "ROUND 17

Collingwood Magpies"


Steve - you've left off your margin.


message 510: by Sj (new)

Sj Brooke | 2519 comments Val wrote: "Sj wrote: "ROUND 17

Collingwood Magpies"

Steve - you've left off your margin

Thanks Val, I've now edited 👍



message 511: by SussexWelsh (new)

SussexWelsh | 7448 comments .
.
Magpies by 15
Suns
Bulldogs
Cats
Blues
Dockers
Demons
Swans
Lions


message 512: by Anita (new)

Anita Bailey | 3841 comments Magpies
Suns
Power
Cats
Blues dockers
Demons
SWANS
Lions


message 513: by Anita (new)

Anita Bailey | 3841 comments Sorry,,,,Magpies by 21


message 514: by theDuke (last edited Jul 03, 2024 03:17PM) (new)

theDuke | 6491 comments Round 17:

Magpies - 5 points
North
Dogs
Hawks
Blues
Freo
Demons
Swans
Lions


message 515: by Philip (new)

Philip | 488 comments Collingwood x 25
Gold Coast
Port Adelaide
Geelong
GWS
Fremantle
Melbourne
Sydney
Brisbane


message 516: by suzysunshine7 (new)

suzysunshine7 | 16038 comments Bombers by 7
Roos
Dogs
Hawks
Giants
Tigers
Eagles
Saints
Crows

Game on! ... and Good Luck Everyone! ;o>


message 517: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments My tips:

Pies x 13
North
Dogs
Hawks
Blues
Freo
Dees
Swans
Lions


message 518: by Tim (new)

Tim Watts (redswatts) | 550 comments Said I should have picked the Bombers


message 519: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments If I had picked the Bombers, they would never have won!

Tonight's result:

Collingwood Magpies (on hiatus) v Essendon Bombers (Val)
5.2.32 (Q1) 2.5.17
8.4.52 (Q2) 6.8.44
8.7.55 (Q3) 10.12.72
12.8.80 (Q4) 13.14.92

From a 23 point deficit in the first quarter, the Bombers took control of the game and came away worthy winners. Suzy was the only one who tipped them so she earns another $7 for Friends With Dignity. Nice work!


message 520: by Tim (new)

Tim Watts (redswatts) | 550 comments No idea why I changed my mind. Think it was because Pies had a lot of players back but I ignored simple fact Bombers are a better team when playing well plusthey always seem to be up for games against Collingwood which is no bad thing.


message 521: by suzysunshine7 (new)

suzysunshine7 | 16038 comments YAYYY!!! ... Well done Bombers! ;o>


message 522: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Today's results:

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Steve) v Gold Coast Suns (Suzy)
3.1.19 (Q1) 5.1.31
8.3.51 (Q2) 7.3.45
11.7.73 (Q3) 9.6.60
13.9.87 (Q4) 12.11.83

Port Adelaide Power (available) v Western Bulldogs (on hiatus)
5.2.32 (Q1) 0.2.2
10.5.65 (Q2) 3.3.21
12.8.80 (Q3) 4.4.28
15.12.102 (Q4) 8.6.54

Geelong Cats (available) v Hawthorn Hawks (available)
4.5.29 (Q1) 1.1.7
9.7.61 (Q2) 4.3.27
13.11.89 (Q3) 7.5.47
16.14.110 (Q4) 9.5.59

GWS Giants (Duke) v Carlton Blues (available)
3.1.19 (Q1) 8.4.52
10.2.62 (Q2) 10.4.64
17.6.108 (Q3) 11.6.72
18.8.116 (Q4) 16.8.104

Fremantle Dockers (available) v Richmond Tigers (Philip)
4.3.27 (Q1) 2.0.12
7.5.47 (Q2) 3.5.23
13.6.84 (Q3) 5.8.38
16.9.105 (Q4) 7.12.54


message 523: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Today's results:

Melbourne Demons (on hiatus) v West Coast Eagles (Sussex)
7.3.45 (Q1) 1.2.8
11.5.71 (Q2) 3.4.22
14.9.93 (Q3) 6.8.44
17.10.112 (Q4) 8.10.58

St Kilda Saints (Tim) v Sydney Swans (Anita)
2.2.14 (Q1) 2.2.14
4.4.28 (Q2) 8.5.53
9.4.58 (Q3) 11.11.77
13.6.84 (Q4) 11.16.82

Brisbane Lions (on hiatus) v Adelaide Crows (on hiatus) v
4.2.26 (Q1) 2.2.14
8.6.54 (Q2) 6.3.39
12.7.79 (Q3) 9.5.59
14.13.97 (Q4) 13.8.86

Yup, that's reigning Premiers Collingwood, Carlton and Sydney all beaten this round!!


message 524: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Our tipsters' ladder is as follows:

Round 17 (first number is correct number of wins - you want this to be high; number in brackets is the cumulative margin which is used to separate punters on the same amount of points - you want this to be low)

Philip on 6 (37)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 5 (29)
Anita on 5 (33)
Duke on 4 (17)
Tim on 4 (20)
Val on 4 (25)
SussexWelsh on 4 (27)
Suzy on 3 (5)

Charity donations are:
Duke (Centre For Eye Research Australia - A$7.00 - Highest score (Giants 116)
Suzy (Friends With Dignity) - A$7.00 (closest margin)
Philip (Canteen) - A$12.00 (weekly winner)

CUMULATIVE LADDER:

Philip on 93 (656)
Tim on 91 (515)
SussexWelsh on 91 (570)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 90 (526)
Val on 90 (534)
Duke on 85 (470)
Anita on 77 (664)
Suzy on 56 (453)

Congratulations to all the winners! The overall ladder has thinned out a bit with Philip moving two points clear but it's still wide open. And please remember to check your scores!


message 525: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments If anyone would like to view the AFL Ladder before submitting next week's tips, it's at http://www.afl.com.au/ladder
or https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/ladder

ROUND 18

Friday Jul 12
Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats (in Melbourne)

Saturday Jul 13
Hawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers (in Tasmania)
Sydney Swans v North Melbourne Kangaroos (in Sydney)
Western Bulldogs v Carlton Blues (in Melbourne)
Melbourne Demons v Essendon Bombers (in Melbourne)
Adelaide Crows v St Kilda Saints (in Adelaide)

Sunday Jul 14
Gold Coast Suns v Port Adelaide Power (on the Gold Coast)
Richmond Tigers v GWS Giants (in Melbourne)
West Coast Eagles v Brisbane Lions (in Perth)

If punters could lodge their tips by midnight THURSDAY Jul 11 (your time) it would be a great help, although I can accept them up until 10.30am FRIDAY (your time) if absolutely necessary.


message 526: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Every team analysed after Round 17 in just three words.

ADELAIDE CROWS: Valiant, at least.

BRISBANE LIONS: Five straight. Threatening!

CARLTON: Wobbly. Still confident.

COLLINGWOOD: TWO close losses?!

ESSENDON: Merrett AA skipper? (Bombers captain Zach Merrett for All Australian team captain??)

FREMANTLE: Top two chance!

GEELONG: Fortnight revives season.

GOLD COAST SUNS: F-bomb was warranted.(Coach Damian Hardwick describes his team's performance)

GWS GIANTS: Now repeat it.

HAWTHORN: A reality check.

MELBOURNE: Built valuable percentage.

NORTH MELBOURNE: 16th is gettable!

PORT ADELAIDE: Proper statement win.

RICHMOND: Debut in 18th.

ST KILDA: Pou, Saints brilliant. (Mattaes Philippou)

SYDNEY SWANS: Losing now preferable...

WEST COAST EAGLES: Simmo’s seat simmering. (Coach Adam Simpson under scrutiny)

WESTERN BULLDOGS: Flaws exposed badly.


message 527: by suzysunshine7 (new)

suzysunshine7 | 16038 comments YAYYY!!! ... Congratulations Philip and Duke! ... x x


message 528: by theDuke (new)

theDuke | 6491 comments Gee, what a dire round. I was expecting upsets, but not the ones that did happen! Thank goodness North came through, just. GWS surprised me.....don't know where this side has been these last few weeks, but long may they keep playing that way! But 2 in a row for Sydney?! Maybe GWS's hoodoo has switched to the Swans?!


message 529: by SussexWelsh (new)

SussexWelsh | 7448 comments .
.
Cats by 8
Dockers
Swans
Blues
Bombers
Crows
Power
Giants
Lions


message 530: by Anita (new)

Anita Bailey | 3841 comments mine
cats by 21
dockers
SWANS
blues
demons
crows
power
giant s
lions


message 531: by Tim (new)

Tim Watts (redswatts) | 550 comments Anita, we need to get our Swans back up and running. Callum Mills is finally back this week, but Heeney is appealing his one match ban which will be heard this evening. This is about far more than the ban. This is about the Brownlow Medal. If the ban stands, he cannot win it even if he does on merit because a ban excludes a player from winning whatever the circumstances. He is one of the fairest people on the pitch and he certainly did not intentionally strike his opponent last week as his immediate reaction shows. For those who do not know the Brownlow medal is the highest award any player can win as it is given to the best and fairest player over the course of a season based on points awarded by each field umpire in each and every game. Heeney has been predicted to top the list so far. The awards ceremony is a highlight every year and the outcome of the Brownlow is eagerly anticipated. Rant over my predictions this week are ( and yet again I find it tough)
Cats by 9
Swans... (with or without Heeney!)
Freo....can really go either way
Blues
Crows
Bombers
Suns
Giants
Lions...even with Adam finally leaving Eagles.


message 532: by Philip (new)

Philip | 488 comments I am getting dizzy up here, but pretty sure it won't last long.

Collingwood x 10
Fremantle
Sydney
Carlton
Essendon
Adelaide
Gold Coast
GWS
Brisbane


message 533: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments The new rule is just stupid and everyone, coaches and commentators, are critical of it. It was just one of those movements that happen all the time in football. Heeney had no ill intent and was obviously concerned seeing the nose bleed. Stupid waste of time for all concerned. I hope he is free to play this weekend and remains eligible for the Brownlow. I don't think he will win it as he has too many good players around him to take votes off him. I'm tipping Marcus Bontempelli (Bulldogs) or Nick Daicos (Magpies) to win it but I will be very happy if Zach Merrett does enough over the next seven weeks to get it.


message 534: by Sj (last edited Jul 11, 2024 09:02AM) (new)

Sj Brooke | 2519 comments Collingwood Magpies + 04

Hawthorn Hawks
Sydney Swans
Carlton Blues
Essendon Bombers
Adelaide Crows

Port Adelaide Power
GWS Giants
Brisbane Lions


message 535: by theDuke (new)

theDuke | 6491 comments Round 17:

Cats - 10 pts
Hawks
Swans
Carlton
Crows
Bombers
Suns
GWS
Lions


message 536: by suzysunshine7 (last edited Jul 12, 2024 05:03AM) (new)

suzysunshine7 | 16038 comments Magpies by 7
Hawks
Roos
Dogs
Demons
Saints
SUNS
Tigers
Eagles

Game on! ... and Good Luck Everyone! ;o>


message 537: by Tim (new)

Tim Watts (redswatts) | 550 comments Heeneys ban is a disgrace. It opens up all sorts of questions on fairness and impartiality. He certainly had no intention of swiping his opponent in the face. The tribunal have taken no notice of his previous exemplary record.


message 538: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments What's the bet the rule gets revised at the end of the season? And Heeney will have missed his chance at a Brownlow with no recourse. Shades of Corey McKernan and Chris Grant - I still believe they should be awarded retrospective Brownlows.


message 539: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments My tips:

Pies x 13 (I'm still not ready to tip against them, injuries or not; Noble and Elliott are back too)
Freo
Swans (by a country mile, much though I admire North's efforts in recent weeks)
Blues (also by a healthy margin)
Dons (fingers crossed; thank heavens Max Gawn is injured this week)
Crows (even without Izak Rankine)
Port (tipping the Suns' home run will end)
GWS
Lions (resurgence after coach's sacking will not occur)


message 540: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Geelong have kicked two goals in the first minute! What do I know??


message 541: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments And now it's three goals in the first four minutes!


message 542: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments 15 minutes in and both teams have scored three goals!


message 543: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Tonight's result:

Collingwood Magpies (on hiatus) v Geelong Cats (available)
4.5.29 (Q1) 3.5.23
6.8.44 (Q2) 7.6.48
8.10.58 (Q3) 10.9.69
10.11.71 (Q4) 13.13.91

Great game - especially by Geelong. They really stuck to their guns through all four quarters. Anita tipped them by 21 so she earns another $7.00 for The Mirabel Foundation. Well done!


message 544: by suzysunshine7 (new)

suzysunshine7 | 16038 comments Congratulations Anita! ... x


message 545: by Tim (new)

Tim Watts (redswatts) | 550 comments I hear your support for Heeney Val but I am heartbroken for him. In short, if this happened to a Victorian based player he gets off. They just cannot stand teams from outside Melbourne winning. At the time no free was awarded. Yes he made contact but he was making a move 99 players out of a 100 would have done. Not sure even why the incident was referred.
I am just so annoyed that a so called impartial tribunal can reach such an abject conclusion. Their own summation just did not make sense and did nothing to find Heeney guilty.
I have said enough on this but you can tell how strongly I feel and goes to show what teams outside Victoria have to go up against to win this competition. Playing in a Grand Final in Melbourne every year is clearly not enough of an advantage for them.
Geelong were really good this evening.
Sorry everyone. I do get emotional.


message 546: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments I agree the AFL does seem to have some "golden boys" that seem untouchable - Chris Judd in his day and definitely Paddy Cripps - he should have been rubbed out in the year he won the Brownlow - that was a really blatant offence. But, having said that and treating Geelong as a Melbourne team, more than half the 21st century's Brownlow winners have been from interstate and 8 of this century's Premiers have been from interstate as have 11 of the runners-up. The most unfair aspect of the competition IMO is the draw. In recent years Collingwood have travelled interstate much less frequently than other Victorian teams. The only answer to that seems to be all teams playing each other once but I'm not in favour of a shorter season plus you would have the added advantage/disadvantage of where each game was played.


message 547: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Today's results:

Hawthorn Hawks (available) v Fremantle Dockers (available)
2.3.15 (Q1) 3.2.20
6.6.42 (Q2) 5.5.35
8.8.56 (Q3) 9.11.65
13.9.87 (Q4) 10.14.74

Sydney Swans (Anita) v North Melbourne Kangaroos (Steve)
3.4.22 (Q1) 3.2.20
10.10.70 (Q2) 4.4.28
16.14.110 (Q3) 7.5.47
20.18.138 (Q4) 9.5.59

Western Bulldogs (on hiatus) v Carlton Blues (available)
0.7.7 (Q1) 3.4.22
7.9.51 (Q2) 7.6.48
11.14.80 (Q3) 10.10.70
14.16.100 (Q4) 12.14.86

Melbourne Demons (on hiatus) v Essendon Bombers (Val)
3.2.20 (Q1) 3.3.21
6.6.42 (Q2) 4.5.29
8.6.54 (Q3) 5.7.37
13.6.84 (Q4) 10.7.67

Adelaide Crows (on hiatus) v St Kilda Saints (Tim)
2.1.13 (Q1) 3.3.21
5.5.35 (Q2) 4.7.31
6.10.46 (Q3) 5.8.38
10.11.71 (Q4) 5.9.39

More turn-ups! Only Suzy predicted a Bulldogs win and the less said about Essendon the better - such a dismal effort! And the Hawks did well to beat the charging Freo.


message 548: by Anita (new)

Anita Bailey | 3841 comments thanks Val.


message 549: by Val (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Today's results:

Gold Coast Suns (Suzy) v Port Adelaide Power (available)
2.4.16 (Q1) 3.2.20
8.4.52 (Q2) 5.5.35
13.6.84 (Q3) 10.7.67
14.12.96 (Q4) 12.10.82

Richmond Tigers (Philip) v GWS Giants (Duke)
3.4.22 (Q1) 4.3.27
6.7.43 (Q2) 9.4.58
8.10.58 (Q3) 14.5.89
12.12.84 (Q4) 17.6.108

West Coast Eagles (Sussex) v Brisbane Lions (on hiatus)
3.2.20 (Q1) 4.4.28
6.3.39 (Q2) 7.7.49
9.4.58 (Q3) 12.8.80
14.9.93 (Q4) 16.10.106


message 550: by Val (last edited Jul 15, 2024 02:31AM) (new)

Val H. | 22141 comments Our tipsters' ladder is as follows:

Round 18 (first number is correct number of wins - you want this to be high; number in brackets is the cumulative margin which is used to separate punters on the same amount of points - you want this to be low)

Duke on 7 (10)
Anita on 6 (1)
Tim on 6 (11)
SussexWelsh on 5 (12)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 5 (24)
Philip on 5 (30)
Suzy on 4 (27)
Val on 4 (33)

Charity donations are:
Anita (The Mirabel Foundation) - A$7.00 - Highest score (Swans 138)
Anita (The Mirabel Foundation) - A$7.00 (closest margin)
Duke (Centre For Eye Research Australia) - A$12.00 (weekly winner)

CUMULATIVE LADDER:

Philip on 98 (686)
Tim on 97 (526)
SussexWelsh on 96 (582)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 95 (550)
Val on 94 (567)
Duke on 92 (480)
Anita on 83 (665)
Suzy on 60 (480)

I hope I've got it right. Well done Tim, Anita and Duke!


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