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US Middle East Policy - Success? Failure? Something else?
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overall, either Iran behaved badly, or they are out of luck. Which one?

https://www.theguardian.com/world/202...

It is probably both. It took only fifteen minutes to release him once his identity was confirmed after he was at the station for three hours. Let us suppose for the moment that Iran was not playing games. Would the ambassador speak Farsi or the local police speak English? That might take time to straighten out. It sounds like once the deputy foreign minister found out, he moved very fast to release the British minister.
As for the ambassador attending a rally, it might have started out as a vigil and then turned into something else. When it comes to Iran, it is impossible to figure what really happened.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/202..."
I don't know whether this is wishful thinking, but this could be the start of the end of the theocracy, provided there is momentum and people to take over quickly, with a clear view on what they want. If it is just people annoyed, the authorities may well make them wish they had kept their annoyance private because a dictatorial regime cannot tolerate internal dissent.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/202..."
I don't kno..."
Think about it this way, the original theocracy started off as protests. Not sure if this is going anywhere, but one can hope.....
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51077897