Hugo & Nebula Awards: Best Novels discussion

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Random Chatter > Some Hugo Award voting data to ruminate

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message 1: by Oleksandr, a.k.a. Acorn (last edited Jun 11, 2019 11:54AM) (new)

Oleksandr Zholud | 5530 comments Mod
Today I visited The Official Site of The Hugo Awards to see if there anything interesting and found the following article: http://www.thehugoawards.org/2019/06/...

It contains votes and data on top-10 nominees (we usually aware only about top-5, from which voters choose). Retros are sadly neglected compared to the current Hugo, but that allows to be nominated with only 14 votes for a novel. Also there is clearly the problem that Hugo doesn't supply lists for eligible works - see The Screwtape Letters, which got votes second only to Beyond This Horizon or Twonky, which some nominated as a novelette, not short story. I'd say the organizers are lazy.


message 2: by Kateblue, 2nd star to the right and straight on til morning (new)

Kateblue | 4796 comments Mod
Interesting link, thanks!


message 3: by Oleksandr, a.k.a. Acorn (new)

Oleksandr Zholud | 5530 comments Mod
I looked data for the last year's nominees and there is some strange stuff - as I understand nominees should be top-5 of initial votes. But look at novels on p. 20 '2018 Nomination Statistics' - https://www.worldcon76.org/images/pub... 2 novels had more votes than lowest in top-5


message 4: by Antti (new)

Antti Värtö (andekn) | 966 comments Mod
Top 5 (or 6, these days) are not decided on the sole number of nominations: since 2017 they've been asdigned according to a pretty complex runoff voting system (single divisible vote). Yhe system is described in detail on Worldcon 75's website:
"First, the total number of nominations from all ballots is
tallied for each nominee.

Next, a single point is assigned to each individual voter’s
nomination ballot. That point is divided equally among all
nominees on that ballot. (After the first round of calculation, it
is divided equally between remaining nominees.)

Next, all points from all nomination ballots are totaled for
each nominee in that category.

Next, the two nominees with the lowest point totals are
compared.

Whichever of those two has the fewest number of nominations is
eliminated and removed from all subsequent calculations.

Back to step 1 with the remaining nominees after the elimination.

The above steps are repeated until there are only six nominees left.
Those six become the finalists."


message 5: by Ed (new)

Ed Erwin | 902 comments Oleksandr wrote: "Today I visited The Official Site of The Hugo Awards to see if there anything interesting and found the following article: http://www.thehugoawards.org/2019/06/...
..."


The article says "We have now added the Full Nominating and Voting Statistics" but I don't see any statistics. Is it still there?


message 6: by Oleksandr, a.k.a. Acorn (new)

Oleksandr Zholud | 5530 comments Mod
Ed wrote: "The article says "We have now added the Full Nominating and Voting Statistics" but I don't see any statistics. Is it still there?"

There are links to pdfs in the article - not extremely user friendly for data mining


message 7: by Oleksandr, a.k.a. Acorn (new)

Oleksandr Zholud | 5530 comments Mod
Antti wrote: "Top 5 (or 6, these days) are not decided on the sole number of nominations: since 2017 they've been asdigned ..."

Thanks for the clarification. I think this system penalizes voters with max nominations. If I have 1 nom per category, I get weight 1 per nom, if I nom 5 per, each weights only 1/5. So If my goal to push for a borderline nom I should nominate others...


message 8: by Antti (new)

Antti Värtö (andekn) | 966 comments Mod
Yes, I don't really understand why they chose this scheme. Seems to reward fanboys/girls who have only read one novel that they OMG!!!LOvE<3 SO MUCH!!

I'm not really sure why you'd want to give fanboys disproportionately much say in the nominations, since their nominations usually... how should I put this... don't have "classic" written on them. On the contrary, these nominations are full on surface attraction and fads du jour, but little else.


message 9: by Oleksandr, a.k.a. Acorn (new)

Oleksandr Zholud | 5530 comments Mod
Antti wrote: "I'm not really sure why you'd want to give fanboys disproportionately much say in the nominations,"

Maybe fanboys (and girls) are assumed better buyers and thus more interesting for book sellers: I know some, who buy all editions of the author they like. Also I guess fans are more likely to buy tickets to a comicCon across the globe... at the same time it surprises me that at least some fan groups aren't active in Hugo. E.g. take Brandon Sanderson who seems to be massively popular here on GR, but not in Hugo for best novels (his shorter works and series were nominated)


message 10: by Kateblue, 2nd star to the right and straight on til morning (new)

Kateblue | 4796 comments Mod
I have never been able to understand the nominations. This year was the first year I was able to figure any out, and I did pretty well. This is the list where I started reading the higher ranked books like crazy when we all decided we were gonna help Bryan vote.
https://www.goodreads.com/list/show/1...
Pretty accurate, actually! And here is a similar list for this year:
https://www.goodreads.com/list/show/1...
But it may be too early yet . . . the top book has only 26 ratings, so I'm not sure how they are ranked.

One book off of the 2019 list that I really liked, though it but was nominated for nothing, was Planetside by Michael Mammay. So I bet we can all find some great reads that we might never have found otherwise on these lists.


message 11: by Ed (new)

Ed Erwin | 902 comments Antti wrote: "Top 5 (or 6, these days) are not decided on the sole number of nominations: since 2017 they've been asdigned according to a pretty complex runoff voting system (single divisible vote). ..."

Wow, that is weird! I like the fact that it is instant-runoff voting, but I don't like the "divisible" vote for the reasons you've already said. I'd prefer "ranked choice" voting. But I'm not in control.


message 12: by Silvana (new)

Silvana (silvaubrey) | 39 comments Oleksandr wrote: "Antti wrote: "Top 5 (or 6, these days) are not decided on the sole number of nominations: since 2017 they've been asdigned ..."

Thanks for the clarification. I think this system penalizes voters w..."


This kinda sucks. I spent lots of time reading some categories esp. short stories especially.

Do they also do this with our voting of the finalist?


message 13: by Oleksandr, a.k.a. Acorn (new)

Oleksandr Zholud | 5530 comments Mod
Silvana wrote: "Do they also do this with our voting of the finalist? "

From what I understand, there are no changes in how voting for a winner will go


message 14: by Sarah (new)

Sarah Tate | 337 comments Oleksandr wrote: "Thanks for the clarification. I think this system penalizes voters with max nominations. If I have 1 nom per category, I get weight 1 per nom, if I nom 5 per, each weights only 1/5. So If my goal to push for a borderline nom I should nominate others... "

It seems more like a reward for being discerning.

Then again, people who put fewer nominations forward may be more likely to have read fewer of them.


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