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"BALL UP!" - Val's 2019 Aussie Rules Footy Tipping *Open to Everyone*
My tips:Pies x 13
Swans
Roos
Cats
Giants
Eagles
Dogs
Tigers
Freo
Good luck all! I'm off to the city to see the gorgeous Marlon Williams. With the Bombers and the Pies doing battle (both huge memberships) and White Night in full swing AND buses replacing trains, it's going to be a hectic night. I'll be back later with the results.
Val, here's the Guardian review of Breaking the Waves. https://www.theguardian.com/music/201...
Not a complete success it would seem. I hadn't realised it premièred in 2016 and there are excerpts on YouTube.
Thanks for that Lez - as you say, some good, some bad. I'll have a look on YouTube and keep an eye out should it ever be staged here.
Val wrote: "Nick - can you please pick one of the Tigers or Lions. If it IS a draw, you will get points anyway, but I don't think I can give you points if one of them does win."Done. :-)
Tonight's result:Collingwood Magpies (Tech) v Essendon Bombers (Val)
3.1.19 (Q1) 6.2.38
6.7.43 (Q2) 7.2.44
8.9.57 (Q3) 9.3.57
10.16.76 (Q4) 10.5.65
My Bombers may have gone down but I managed the closest margin (Pies x 13) so $6.00 is going to Beyond The Orphanage.
Today's/Tonight's results:Sydney Swans (Anita) v St Kilda Saints (Lez)
6.2.38 (Q1) 2.5.17
6.3.39 (Q2) 5.9.39
11.4.70 (Q3) 7.12.54
17.7.109 (Q4) 8.16.64
North Melbourne Kangaroos (Steve) v Melbourne Demons (TheFoe)
3.4.22 (Q1) 4.2.26
5.4.34 (Q2) 5.4.34
10.9.69 (Q3) 11.4.70
13.10.88 (Q4) 12.11.83
Geelong Cats (available) v Carlton Blues (RedJohn)
5.4.34 (Q1) 1.3.9
12.5.77 (Q2) 3.8.26
14.6.90 (Q3) 6.13.49
19.15.129 (Q4) 8.13.61
Gold Coast Suns (Suzy) v Greater Western Sydney Giants (Duke)
0.4.4 (Q1) 5.0.30
3.10.28 (Q2) 8.2.50
5.12.42 (Q3) 16.5.101
7.13.55 (Q4) 20.7.127
West Coast Eagles (Sussex) v Hawthorn Hawks (available)
4.3.27 (Q1) 3.3.21
5.8.38 (Q2) 8.6.54
7.11.53 (Q3) 11.6.72
9.13.67 (Q4) 16.9.105
None of us bar Suzy foresaw the Eagles upset. It has an effect on the Finals as it looks like the Pies will front up against Geelong at the MCG. However, until tomorrow's games are over, the permutations remain endless:
The Magpies will finish in the top four this year thanks to West Coast’s upset loss to Hawthorn. But it also means they’re almost locked in to face Geelong in a qualifying final.
If Brisbane beats Richmond, the Magpies will finish third, with Geelong second.
If Richmond beats Brisbane, they will pass the Pies for fourth and leave Geelong first.
Only a draw would change things - it would result in Collingwood finishing fourth with Brisbane first, so they’d play off at the Gabba.
The Bombers are now guaranteed to be the away team in their elimination final.
If the Western Bulldogs win against Adelaide, they will pass the Bombers for seventh, possibly creating a Pies v Dons week one September rematch. The Dons could also end up facing one of West Coast or Richmond in that final.
If the Western Bulldogs lose, the Bombers will instead head north to face the GWS Giants.
Collingwood is still waiting on... Richmond v Brisbane Lions
Essendon is still waiting on... Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows
If the Lions win or draw, they will finish on top. If the Lions lose, the Cats will finish on top.
Unless there is a draw in that game, the Cats will host Collingwood in their qualifying final.
Geelong is still waiting on... Brisbane v Richmond
The Giants are locked into sixth spot and a home elimination final, likely to be played on the Saturday of week one.
They will host either the Western Bulldogs (if they beat Adelaide on Sunday) or Essendon (if the Bulldogs lose or draw).
GWS is still waiting on... Western Bulldogs v Adelaide
The Eagles are now in real danger of dropping out of the top four entirely thanks to their upset loss to Hawthorn.
Collingwood has claimed the double chance thanks to West Coast’s loss, with the final slot in the top four now between Richmond and the 2018 premiers.
If Richmond beats Brisbane on Sunday, they will likely finish third (with second possible via a huge win). That would knock West Coast into fifth and a home elimination final.
If Brisbane beats Richmond by more than a couple of points, the Eagles will cling onto fourth spot and travel to face the Lions in a qualifying final.
The Hawks have kept their finals hopes alive thanks to their stunning road win, but they still need help.
Specifically they need the Western Bulldogs to lose to Adelaide. That should be enough because either the Crows or Port Adelaide would need to win by around 80 points to make up the percentage gap between them and the Hawks, which seems unlikely.
If the Bulldogs win, the Hawks will likely finish ninth.
West Coast is still waiting on... Richmond v Brisbane Lions
Hawthorn is still waiting on... Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows
Thanks to Essendon’s loss, the Bulldogs will finish seventh if they win and then travel to face GWS in an elimination final.
Thanks to Hawthorn’s win over West Coast, the Bulldogs will miss the finals with a loss to Adelaide.
The Crows are in big trouble because of Hawthorn’s win over West Coast.
They not only need to beat the Bulldogs but pass the Hawks on percentage - and they’re almost 80 points of margin ahead.
Western Bulldogs’ stakes: Win and play finals, lose and they miss
Adelaide’s stakes: Must win big to have any hopes of playing finals
This result also impacts … GWS Giants, Essendon, Hawthorn and Port Adelaide
Thanks to Collingwood’s win, the Tigers will almost certainly finish fifth if they don’t get the win on Sunday, and then host an elimination final against either Essendon or Hawthorn.
There is a remote possibility Richmond could lose by a point or two and still finish fourth.
The Lions can guarantee themselves the minor premiership — the first for the club in all of its different versions in over a century — if they win on Sunday.
If they lose, Geelong will finish on top of the ladder instead, but as long as they aren’t thumped by 10 goals or more they’ll still finish second ahead of the Tigers.
Richmond’s stakes: Win and could host a qualifying final with top four locked in, lose and risk dropping into fifth
Brisbane’s stakes: Win and finish on top, lose and risk travelling for a qualifying final
This result also impacts … Geelong, West Coast and Collingwood
If the Crows beat the Bulldogs, it’ll be up to Port to win and win really well to finish eighth.
Port Adelaide’s stakes: Must win to have any hopes of play finals, as long as the Bulldogs lost earlier in the day
This result also impacts … Western Bulldogs, Hawthorn and Adelaide
I hope you got all that because there will be a test!!
It's like one of those logic puzzles: 'If Mary's wearing a red dress and Jim's playing footie, who's sitting next to Edna?"
Or we could just wait and see what happens in the final 3 games.! Val's permutations are too much for my preoccupied mind to analyze my way through!
My head was spinning so much I could have had the lead part in the Exorcist!
Well it's all done and dusted now. The final position in "the eight" is very important because it not only determines your opponent, but also where you will play (assuming home ground is an advantage). Unfortunately this doesn't apply to Geelong. Their home ground is deemed too small to host a final so they will have to face the Pies at the MCG (the latter's home ground).Today's results:
Western Bulldogs (Blastro) v Adelaide Crows (Dean)
6.5.41 (Q1) 2.0.12
9.8.62 (Q2) 5.4.34
14.11.95 (Q3) 8.6.54
18.13.121 (Q4) 13.9.87
Richmond Tigers (Philip) v Brisbane Lions (David)
6.2.38 (Q1) 2.1.13
8.6.54 (Q2) 4.4.28
10.7.67 (Q3) 7.6.48
12.10.82 (Q4) 8.7.55
Port Adelaide Power (Grizzly) v Fremantle Dockers (available)
3.4.22 (Q1) 5.1.31
7.9.51 (Q2) 5.6.36
11.17.83 (Q3) 6.6.42
15.20.110 (Q4) 10.7.67
Our tipsters' ladder is as follows:Round 23 (first number is correct number of wins - you want this to be high; number in brackets is the cumulative margin which is used to separate punters on the same amount of points - you want this to be low)
Anita on 9 (18)
RedJohn on 8 (9)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 8 (14)
Duke on 8 (16)
Philip on 8 (24)
Val on 7 (2)
David on 7 (4)
Blastro on 7 (6)
Tech on 7 (16)
SussexWelsh on 7 (27)
Dean on 6 (7)
Grizzly on 5 (4)
Foe on 5 (10)
Lez on 4 (54)
Suzy on 1 (28)
Charity donations are:
Unwanted team - money will be redistributed at end of season - $6.00 (Highest score - Cats 129)
Val (Beyond The Orphanage) - A$6.00 (closest margin)
Anita (The Mirabel Foundation) - A$11.00 (weekly winner)
CUMULATIVE LADDER:
David on 132 (639)
Tech on 131 (724)
RedJohn on 129 (743)
Val on 126 (614)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 126 (748)
SussexWelsh on 120 (659)
Philip on 120 (848)
Duke on 119 (642)
Lez on 119 (793)
Dean on 118 (705)
Blastro on 118 (796)
Grizzly on 113 (665)
Anita on 109 (695)
Foe on 95 (748)
Suzy on 66 (728)
Well done Anita on getting a full house - doesn't happen very often!
I hope all the above scores are right (let me know if they're not) because that's it for the home and away season. In First Place we have David who adds $35 to his winnings on behalf of The Song Room. He managed to hold off Tech who earns $25.00 for Oscar's Law. And in Third Place, we have RedJohn who scores $15.00 for the Fr Bob Maguire Foundation. Suzy is our Wooden Spooner (again!) and gets $10.00 for Friends With Dignity.A further winner is Duke. Jeremy Cameron's 9 goals for the Giants on Saturday saw him take out the Coleman Medal with a total of 67 goals in 2019, holding off North Melbourne’s Ben Brown, who was once again the bridesmaid with 64. So that's another $15.00 for Insight.
Congrats to all the winners and to all of you for joining in so enthusiastically and regularly!
We now get a week's rest before the Finals but over the next four weeks there's still about £50 to be earned for your charities. You may want to post your tips early rather than risk forgetting to do so in 12 days' time. Tipsters whose teams are still alive are David, Philip, Sussex, Tech, Blastro, Val and Duke. But remember, all tipsters are still in the competition to pick winners and earn some cash for their charities. There are no prizes for closest margin or highest score, just $15.00 for the tipster who predicts the most wins with the lowest cumulative margins.
Qualifying and Elimination Finals:
(Qualifying: loser gets a second chance)
(Elimination: loser is out of the Finals)
This time I'd like you to choose the winning team AND the margin for ALL FOUR GAMES. Scoring will be one point for every winner picked and a sliding table based on the margins predicted for each game. There will (hopefully) be one winning punter after all games have been played. $15.00 to your charity is up for grabs.
If anyone would like to view the AFL Ladder before submitting next week's tips, it's at
http://www.afl.com.au/ladder
WeeK 1 of the Finals fixtures:
Thursday, Sept 5
First Elimination Final
West Coast Eagles (Sussex) v Essendon Bombers (Val) at Optus Stadium, Perth
Friday, Sept 6
First Qualifying Final
Geelong Cats (unwanted) v Collingwood Magpies (Tech) at the M.C.G., Melbourne
Saturday, Sept 7
Second Elimination Final
Greater Western Sydney Giants (Duke) v Western Bulldogs (Blastro) at the Giants Stadium, Sydney
Saturday, Sept 7
Second Qualifying Final
Brisbane Lions (David) v Richmond Tigers (Philip) at the Gabba, Brisbane
If punters could lodge their tips by midnight WEDNESDAY (your time) SEPTEMBER 4th it would be a great help, although I can accept them up until 10.15am THURSDAY (your time) if absolutely necessary.
Val - a 4* review of B. the W. from the Observer. https://www.theguardian.com/music/201...
Missy Mazzoli wrote some music for 'Mozart in the Jungle' which I remember my mates on 'Talk Classical' raving about.
very well played, david, you forced me to go against myself on a couple of choices to give myself a chance, but you had the edge on points difference anyway, so skillfully done you bas.........!how many 2nd prizes do i have now, val?
Congratulations to Anita on getting a rare full house; to David as the newly crowned 2019 season AFL Footy Rules punting champion & narrowingly beating Tech & collecting the top prize; to Tech on not quite getting there, but on winning the creditable 2nd place prize; to RedJohn, who despite having not contributed one iota to this game all season, yet managed to collect the third placement prize (!); to Val for getting the weekly closest margin; to Suzy for winning the wooden spoon for the umpteenth time; and to er....to me..for doing sweet naff all...but picking up some extra dosh for Insight..thank you Cameron..ya sport! And finally to everyone else, who won the closest margins, highest correct number of punts & their teams on getting the highest weekly scores, throughout the season....including me......once! Well done to all of us...*as Bruce Forsyth* "Didn't we do well!" :)That's a lotta congratulations..i think got everybody?!
Yahhhh!!That was a surprise😀
Congratulations David and commiserations to tech a very close result.As I am back to work tomorrow I'll jump in and go first .
Eagles by 21
Pies by 21
Giants by 21
Tigers by 21
Sad not to see the SWANS here.Thanks for your hard work and generosity Val.
gaun the PIES!eagles by 23
cats by 17
bulldugs by 5
lions by 17
cheers val
Tech XXIII wrote: "very well played, david, you forced me to go against myself on a couple of choices to give myself a chance, but you had the edge on points difference anyway, so skillfully done you bas.........!h..."
I must admit I deliberately got my post in early. Well played Tech - it was a close run thing
Very well done, David and hard lines, tech.Congrats Anita, that's pretty amazing!
Getting in early, or I'll forget:Eagles 43
Pies 43
Dogs 43
Tigers 43
Thanks Val
Val wrote: on Aug 18, 2019 02:24AM ..."Steve (Backpack Bed For Homeless) - $6.00 (Highest score - Roos 144)
Lez (Dementia Australia) - A$6.00 (closest margin)
Lez (Dementia Australia) - A$11.00 (weekly winner)"
A BELATED YAYYY!!! - & Congratulations to Lez Lee!!! ... x ;o>
And a very well-punted to Sj ... x
And a belated ... x x x ! ! ! ... HAPPY BIRTHDAY LEZ LEE ... ! ! ! x x x ...
Val wrote: on Aug 25, 2019 06:34AM ..."Unwanted team - money will be redistributed at end of season - $6.00 (Highest score - Cats 129)
Val (Beyond The Orphanage) - A$6.00 (closest margin)
Anita (The Mirabel Foundation) - A$11.00 (weekly winner)"
YAYYY!!! - Congratulations Anita!!! ... x ;o>
And very well-punted Val ... x
Val wrote: "I hope all the above scores are right (let me know if they're not) because that's it for the home and away season. In First Place we have David who adds $35 to his winnings on behalf of The Song Room. He managed to hold off Tech who earns $25.00 for Oscar's Law. And in Third Place, we have RedJohn who scores $15.00 for the Fr Bob Maguire Foundation. Suzy is our Wooden Spooner (again!) and gets $10.00 for Friends With Dignity.A further winner is Duke. Jeremy Cameron's 9 goals for the Giants on Saturday saw him take out the Coleman Medal with a total of 67 goals in 2019, holding off North Melbourne’s Ben Brown, who was once again the bridesmaid with 64. So that's another $15.00 for Insight"
;o> YAYYY!!! ... CONGRATULATIONS DAVID!!! ... WOO-HOO!!! ;o>
And very well done to all the rest of us but most especially to our lovely Val ... x
West Coast Eagles (Sussex) # 49Geelong Cats (unwanted) # 31
Greater Western Sydney Giants (Duke) # 16
Richmond Tigers (Philip) # 29
Thanks as always Val for all of your hard work and generosity through the season. Eagles 34
Cats 15
Bulldogs 10
Lions 15
Well done to Anita for getting a full house, and well done too to Val for getting the closest margin :)
Congratulations to David for finishing top of the shop :)
Eagles by 5
Cats by 29
Bulldogs by 19
Tigers by 12
Good luck everyone :)
Congratulations to David for finishing top of the shop :)
Eagles by 5
Cats by 29
Bulldogs by 19
Tigers by 12
Good luck everyone :)
Thanks grizzly,that was a surprise.Thanks Val for all your hard work and generosity
Some more dosh to hand out. The 2019 Rising Star Award (first year player) went to Sam Walsh of Carlton so another $15 goes to RedJohn's charity, the Fr Bob Maguire Foundation.
Rightyhoo then....lets see what this little lot will do for me....Eagles - 35
Magpies - 7
Giants - 3
Lions - 15
Good luck folks, and thank you Val.
C'mon you GIANTS........and the LIONS too! :)
..
Eagles by 31
Cats by 17
Bulldogs by 4
Lions by 8
In case I'm not online for a couple of days - Happy Birthday Foe for tomorrow! Have a good un bud!!
My punt..West Coast 19
Geelong 23
BULLDAWGS 7
Richmond 19
West Coast x20Geelong x10
Western x5
Brisbane x10
Congratulations to David.
Oooo...many happy returns Nick..have a good one! :)
Thanks Blastro/Duke. :-) Bombers x12
Cats x17
Bulldogs x18
Tigers x19
Thanks a lot for running this punt again Val, just a shame that this is the first time I haven't raised a single penny for my charity, very poor punting.
RedJohn's tips:West Coast x 22
Geelong x 1
W. Bulldogs x 11
Bris Lions x 12
Suzy's tips:Dons x 17
Pies x 14
Giants x 11
Lions x 9
My tips:Eagles x 24
Cats x 2
Giants x 6
Tigers x 15
Happy Birthday Nick and don't be too hard on yourself, you did win a closest margin earlier in the season so you've got AU$6.00 to your name. And you will benefit when I redistribute money won by the three unclaimed teams. Plus, there is still $AU75 out there to be won. You never know, this might be your lucky week.Good luck everyone. There's still an hour till the bounce (Perth is 2 hours behind Melbourne) so we are all still alive. Go the Bombers!!! (even though I've tipped the Eagles).
Tonight's result:First Elimination Final
West Coast Eagles (Sussex) v Essendon Bombers (Val)
6.4.40 (Q1) 3.1.19
10.8.68 (Q2) 6.2.38
13.11.89 (Q3) 8.5.53
17.14.116 (Q4) 9.7.61
It was a rout! The Eagles are streets ahead of Essendon in every aspect of the game. It was cringeworthy viewing!
Yikes! That was painful for the Bombers!
Oh cobblers!! I thought I was in plenty of time!!!Cats 19
Giants 19
Tigers 19
Val wrote: "Happy Birthday Nick and don't be too hard on yourself, you did win a closest margin earlier in the season so you've got AU$6.00 to your name. And you will benefit when I redistribute money won by t..."Cheers Val. :-)
Tonight's result:First Qualifying Final
Geelong Cats (unwanted) v Collingwood Magpies (Tech)
1.2.8 (Q1) 4.2.26
4.4.28 (Q2) 7.5.47
5.6.36 (Q3) 9.7.61
7.9.51 (Q4) 9.7.61
So the Pies get a week off and the Cats will return to the MCG next weekend to take on the Eagles. I watched about three-quarters of the game and it was all Collingwood. They did sustain a couple of injuries but the week's rest will help with those. I don't know how or why they stopped in the final quarter but I suspect the win was still convincing.
I was out last night so apologies for late results.Saturday's results:
Second Elimination Final
Greater Western Sydney Giants (Duke) v Western Bulldogs (Blastro) at the Giants Stadium, Sydney
3.5.23 (Q1) 2.0.12
6.9.45 (Q2) 5.5.35
12.11.83 (Q3) 7.6.48
16.17.113 (Q4) 8.7.55
Second Qualifying Final
Brisbane Lions (David) v Richmond Tigers (Philip) at the Gabba, Brisbane
4.6.30 (Q1) 3.0.18
4.10.34 (Q2) 7.3.45
6.14.50 (Q3) 14.4.88
8.17.65 (Q4) 18.4.112
Both teams were in it until half time but wilted thereafter. The awesome-looking Tigers get the week off and the Giants will travel to Brisbane to take on the Lions.
Our tipsters ladder:Anita - 4 (108)
Sj Brooke (Steve) - 3 (107)
Val - 3 (127)
Duke - 3 (140)
Lez - 3 (150)
Blastro - 2 (162)
Dean - 2 (178)
Suzy - 2 (179)
Grizzly - 2 (201)
SussexWelsh - 1 (141)
RedJohn - 1 (172)
Philip - 1 (175)
David E. - 1 (176)
Tech - 1 (186)
Foe - 1 (198)
Well done Anita - you win $15.00 for The Mirabel Foundation.
Bombers x 17
Saints
Demons
Blues
Suns
Hawks
Crows
Lions
Dockers