Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto, #1)

by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

swans). It is, however, possible to make Statement B merely by finding one single counterexample. Indeed, Statement A was disproved by the discovery of Australia, as it led to the sighting of the Cygnus atratus, a swan variety that was jet black!