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Stephen M.
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End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, by Peter Turchin

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factors. The most important driver is intraelite competition and conflict, which is a reliable predictor of the looming crisis.
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End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration
End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration
by Peter Turchin
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