How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between

by Bent Flyvbjerg

Nassim Nicholas Taleb famously dubbed low-probability, high-consequence events “black swans.” Disastrous project outcomes such as these can end careers, sink companies, and inflict a variety of other carnage. They definitely qualify as black swans.