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Kindle Notes & Highlights
by
Mary Buffett
Good things do come to those who wait—provided you pick the right stock.
Simply stated, in the world of business, how much money you get from a sale or how much you have to pay when making a purchase determines whether you make or lose money and how rich you ultimately become. Once negotiations begin, you can come down in your selling price or up in your buying price. But it’s impossible to do the opposite.
“You can’t make a good deal with a bad person.” A bad person is a bad person, and a bad person will never make you a good deal. The world is filled with enough good and honest people that doing business with the dishonest ones is pure foolishness. If you even have to ask yourself the question “Do I trust this person?” you should immediately leave the negotiating table and look for more honest company with whom to do business.
Warren forgot to put a noncompete clause in his contract with eighty-nine-year-old Rose Blumkin when he bought her Omaha-based Nebraska Furniture Mart. A few years later Mrs. B. got angry at the way things were being done at the store, so she quit and started up a new store across the street—stealing tons of business from NFM. After a few years of suffering the stiff competition, Warren caved in and agreed to buy her new store for a cool $5 million. The second time around he had her sign a noncompete agreement,
“It is easier to stay out of trouble than it is to get out of trouble.” It is far easier to avoid the temptation of breaking the law to make easy money than it is to deal with the consequences if you get caught. To stay out of trouble, just do the right thing at the right time.
In 1973 Warren invested $11 million in the Washington Post Company, and he remains married to this investment even to this day, and over the thirty-three years he has held on to it, it has grown to be worth $1.5 billion.
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The value of a well thought out investment, held for a long time, accrues the most value at the tail end and grows in value over years in the long term. To extend the analogy, the best relationships do the same.
One should beware of people who need to use your money to make you rich, especially when the more things they sell you means the more money they will make. More often than not, their agenda is to use your money to make themselves rich.
The stock market is there to make you rich if you know what you are doing. But if you don’t know what you are doing, it will show no mercy in making you poor. Ignorance, when mixed with greed, is the stuff financial disasters are made of.
He is waiting for the perfect pitch and is staying with the sure thing: companies with products that don’t have to change, businesses that he knows will still be around in twenty years, selling now at a price that would make business sense even if he were buying the whole company. Lucky for him that the short-term focus of the stock market often neglects the long-term economics of a business, which means the stock market will often misprice a great business.
Warren likes to look at stocks as owning a small piece of a business. This way he can judge whether he is paying too much for the business. He multiplies the stock price by the number of shares outstanding, then asks himself whether this would be a good deal or a bad deal if he were buying the whole business. If the price is too rich to be buying the whole business, then it is too rich to be buying even a single share. This thought alone can stop you from foolishly getting caught in the speculative frenzy
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Principle applies to things worth doing. If it’s not worth doing it all the way through or you wouldn’t want to do everything that’s required, then it’s not worth doing at all.
“You should invest in a business that even a fool can run, because someday a fool will.” There are businesses with great underlying economics and businesses with poor underlying economics. You want to invest in companies with great underlying economics because it is hard to damage these kinds of businesses.
Most businesses that are doing well now will, at some future point, do poorly. Things change—it is only a matter of time. Buggy whips were at one time a great business in America, video players were once the rage, selling and fixing typewriters a necessary and intricate part of the commercial equation. Now they are just things of the past with no economic promise whatsoever. Things do end, which is why you not only have to keep your eye on the ball, but also on the road ahead.
“When management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for poor fundamental economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact.”
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There are no turnarounds so long as the economics are poor. The market always wins, no matter how brilliant the management. Change the system to align to the market, or get out.
A great business is usually awash in cash, carries little or no debt, and is in a great position to either buy its way out of trouble or ride out any downturn in the economy. Mediocre businesses are always struggling for cash and are loaded with debt, and if they get into problems, they usually have to rob Peter to pay Paul, which leads to even more problems. No matter how brilliantly a mediocre business is run, its poor inherent economics will keep it forever anchored to poor results.

